Skip to main content

France predictions & odds

·
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

44%

$6.1K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

22%

Jordan Bardella

$57M Vol.

$2M today

$5M Liq.

427

Ends in 12 months

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

32%

December 31, 2026

$321K Vol.

$24.1K Liq.

112

Ends in 8 months

Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$25.3K Liq.

93

Ends in 2 months

French election called by...?

French election called by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

312

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

91%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$15.9K Vol.

$368K Liq.

14

Ends in 12 months

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

23%

$11.4K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

23

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

85%

Gabriel Attal

$857 Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

7

Ends in 12 months

Coupe de France: Winner

Coupe de France: Winner

72%

Lens

$4.4K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

4%

$851K Vol.

$37.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Valorant: WIP Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs

Valorant: WIP Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs

51%

Joblife

$1.4K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

France vs. Senegal

France vs. Senegal

69%

France

$3.0K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs

Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs

83%

Mandatory

$0 Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Norway vs. France

Norway vs. France

42%

France

$57 Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

France vs. Iraq

France vs. Iraq

79%

France

$173 Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice

Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice

57%

Racing Club de Lens

$330 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 22 days

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

94%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$7M Vol.

$130K today

$596K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

36%

Harry Kane

$3M Vol.

$87.9K today

$602K Liq.

87

Ends in 6 months

Which continent will win the 2026 Fifa World Cup?

Which continent will win the 2026 Fifa World Cup?

73%

Europe

$2M Vol.

$291K Liq.

16

Ligue 1: Top Goalscorer

Ligue 1: Top Goalscorer

85%

Esteban Lepaul

$653K Vol.

$33.2K Liq.

6

Ends in 29 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like France.

Polymarket currently hosts 185 active markets for France that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will France pass a national budget by December 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $73.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next French Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next French Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 22% chance to Jordan Bardella. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on France predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.