Repeated bipartisan rejections of Iran war powers resolutions have solidified trader consensus at 92% against congressional passage by May 31, reflecting entrenched partisan divisions amid U.S. hostilities with Iran under Operation Epic Fury. The Senate blocked such measures for a fourth time on April 15 (47-52) and fifth on April 23, while the House narrowly defeated one 213-214 on April 16, with one Democrat voting no and a Republican present after prior support. Democrats continue introducing resolutions like H.Con.Res.91 invoking War Powers Resolution section 5(c) to mandate force withdrawal, but GOP majorities prioritize executive flexibility as the 60-day clock expires May 1 without new authorization. Absent a dramatic shift in whip counts or cross-party endorsements, procedural hurdles and floor vote failures make approval unlikely before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
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May 31, 2026
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May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Repeated bipartisan rejections of Iran war powers resolutions have solidified trader consensus at 92% against congressional passage by May 31, reflecting entrenched partisan divisions amid U.S. hostilities with Iran under Operation Epic Fury. The Senate blocked such measures for a fourth time on April 15 (47-52) and fifth on April 23, while the House narrowly defeated one 213-214 on April 16, with one Democrat voting no and a Republican present after prior support. Democrats continue introducing resolutions like H.Con.Res.91 invoking War Powers Resolution section 5(c) to mandate force withdrawal, but GOP majorities prioritize executive flexibility as the 60-day clock expires May 1 without new authorization. Absent a dramatic shift in whip counts or cross-party endorsements, procedural hurdles and floor vote failures make approval unlikely before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Volume
$528End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Repeated bipartisan rejections of Iran war powers resolutions have solidified trader consensus at 92% against congressional passage by May 31, reflecting entrenched partisan divisions amid U.S. hostilities with Iran under Operation Epic Fury. The Senate blocked such measures for a fourth time on April 15 (47-52) and fifth on April 23, while the House narrowly defeated one 213-214 on April 16, with one Democrat voting no and a Republican present after prior support. Democrats continue introducing resolutions like H.Con.Res.91 invoking War Powers Resolution section 5(c) to mandate force withdrawal, but GOP majorities prioritize executive flexibility as the 60-day clock expires May 1 without new authorization. Absent a dramatic shift in whip counts or cross-party endorsements, procedural hurdles and floor vote failures make approval unlikely before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$528End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Repeated bipartisan rejections of Iran war powers resolutions have solidified trader consensus at 92% against congressional passage by May 31, reflecting entrenched partisan divisions amid U.S. hostilities with Iran under Operation Epic Fury. The Senate blocked such measures for a fourth time on April 15 (47-52) and fifth on April 23, while the House narrowly defeated one 213-214 on April 16, with one Democrat voting no and a Republican present after prior support. Democrats continue introducing resolutions like H.Con.Res.91 invoking War Powers Resolution section 5(c) to mandate force withdrawal, but GOP majorities prioritize executive flexibility as the 60-day clock expires May 1 without new authorization. Absent a dramatic shift in whip counts or cross-party endorsements, procedural hurdles and floor vote failures make approval unlikely before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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