President Trump's confirmed phone call with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on April 26, announced publicly by her office, has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on that outcome amid discussions on transatlantic trade, NATO security, and a recent White House Correspondents' Dinner incident. Other options, including Volodymyr Zelenskyy at around 9% and Maria Corina Machado at 9.5%, reflect low probabilities due to no credible reports of verbal interactions despite Trump's active diplomacy—such as his April 29 call with Vladimir Putin on Ukraine ceasefire and Iran war efforts, plus media interviews with CNBC on April 21 and 60 Minutes on April 26. With the market resolving at April 30's end, last-minute announcements remain possible but unlikely to shift leading odds significantly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,544,306 Vol.

Ursula von der Leyen
100%

Kim Jong Un
4%

Maria Corina Machado
4%

Elon Musk
3%

Reza Pahlavi
3%

Pope Leo XIV
2%

Lula da Silva
2%

Xi Jinping
1%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
1%

Masoud Pezeshkian
1%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
1%

Nicolás Maduro
1%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
$1,544,306 Vol.

Ursula von der Leyen
100%

Kim Jong Un
4%

Maria Corina Machado
4%

Elon Musk
3%

Reza Pahlavi
3%

Pope Leo XIV
2%

Lula da Silva
2%

Xi Jinping
1%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
1%

Masoud Pezeshkian
1%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
1%

Nicolás Maduro
1%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's confirmed phone call with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on April 26, announced publicly by her office, has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on that outcome amid discussions on transatlantic trade, NATO security, and a recent White House Correspondents' Dinner incident. Other options, including Volodymyr Zelenskyy at around 9% and Maria Corina Machado at 9.5%, reflect low probabilities due to no credible reports of verbal interactions despite Trump's active diplomacy—such as his April 29 call with Vladimir Putin on Ukraine ceasefire and Iran war efforts, plus media interviews with CNBC on April 21 and 60 Minutes on April 26. With the market resolving at April 30's end, last-minute announcements remain possible but unlikely to shift leading odds significantly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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