Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu clings to a slim Knesset majority following ultra-Orthodox party exits in 2025, but recent polls show his coalition projected at around 50 seats, well short of the 61 needed for control ahead of legislative elections by October 27, 2026. Trader sentiment reflects this fragility after President Isaac Herzog delayed a decision on Netanyahu's corruption trial pardon request on April 26, urging plea deal talks instead, while testimony resumed then abruptly canceled on April 27 due to security concerns amid multi-front conflicts. Rivals Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid merged parties April 26, boosting opposition unity, though no snap election or no-confidence vote looms immediately despite war fatigue and protests.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu clings to a slim Knesset majority following ultra-Orthodox party exits in 2025, but recent polls show his coalition projected at around 50 seats, well short of the 61 needed for control ahead of legislative elections by October 27, 2026. Trader sentiment reflects this fragility after President Isaac Herzog delayed a decision on Netanyahu's corruption trial pardon request on April 26, urging plea deal talks instead, while testimony resumed then abruptly canceled on April 27 due to security concerns amid multi-front conflicts. Rivals Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid merged parties April 26, boosting opposition unity, though no snap election or no-confidence vote looms immediately despite war fatigue and protests.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Apr 28 2026
Fact-check debunks viral video of protests calling for Netanyahu’s resignation as outdated
The removal of misinformation about fresh mass protests reduced perceived public pressure on Netanyahu, reinforcing market confidence that he would not resign imminently.
Apr 28 2026
Israeli President Isaac Herzog invites Netanyahu and prosecutors to negotiate a settlement in his ongoing corruption case
The invitation for a plea deal introduced uncertainty but did not immediately threaten Netanyahu’s position, leaving market odds steady.
Apr 28 2026
Netanyahu reveals successful treatment for prostate cancer, but delays disclosure to avoid Iran‑propaganda concerns – The health news, while notable, did not revive resignation
Netanyahu reveals successful treatment for prostate cancer, but delays disclosure to avoid Iran‑propaganda concerns – The health news, while notable, did not revive resignation expectations, leaving the
Apr 27 2026
Opposition alliance “Together” gains endorsements and public support, signaling a credible challenge to Netanyahu’s coalition
June 30 dips to 6%1%
Despite the opposition’s consolidation, polls showed the alliance trailing Netanyahu’s Likud, leading to a stabilization and slight decline in resignation odds.
Apr 26 2026
Former Israeli prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce merger of their parties into a new alliance “Together” to challenge Netanyahu in upcoming elections
June 30 rises to 7%1%
The formation of a united opposition bloc increased political pressure on Netanyahu, causing a slight uptick in the probability of his stepping down by June 30.
Apr 26 2026
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections – The budget win cemented his hold on power, pushing “Yes” odds to their
June 30 dips to 6%1%
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections – The budget win cemented his hold on power, pushing “Yes” odds to their lowest level. Sources: Polymarket page and NYT summary.
Apr 26 2026
Former Prime Ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce merger to challenge Netanyahu in upcoming elections
April 30 dips to 0%1%
The formation of the Yachad party united Netanyahu’s main rivals, signaling a consolidated opposition; however, this did not translate into immediate expectations of Netanyahu’s resignation, as he remained firmly in power.
Apr 26 2026
Opposition leaders Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce a joint party to challenge Netanyahu in the upcoming election – The alliance briefly revived hopes of a political upset,
June 30 dips to 7%4%
Opposition leaders Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce a joint party to challenge Netanyahu in the upcoming election – The alliance briefly revived hopes of a political upset, causing a modest uptick. Sources: Reuters, NYT, Al Jazeera.
Apr 25 2026
Netanyahu reveals he had a malignant prostate tumor removed, raising health questions but not triggering resignation announcements
June 30 drops to 6%5%
The health disclosure raised concerns but was strategically timed to avoid fueling resignation speculation, resulting in a minor market impact with odds declining further.
Apr 18 2026
Market reacts to mixed signals as Netanyahu’s health news and coalition pressures persist, with some
December 31 jumps to 45%10%
Market reacts to mixed signals as Netanyahu’s health news and coalition pressures persist, with some
Apr 8 2026
Ceasefire with Iran announced amid political backlash against Netanyahu
April 30 rises to 4%3%
The ceasefire ended military operations sooner than desired, sparking criticism of Netanyahu’s leadership and briefly increasing market odds of his resignation due to perceived failure to achieve war goals.
Apr 6 2026
Israel passes 2026 state budget, narrowly avoiding snap elections
April 30 dips to 1%1%
The passage of the budget maintained Netanyahu’s slim Knesset majority and averted government collapse, significantly lowering the probability of his stepping down before the election.
Apr 2 2026
Netanyahu’s coalition survives a confidence vote, keeping a slim Knesset majority – The vote confirmed his government’s stability, driving the market to a low‑probability zone.
June 30 drops to 11%11%
(no direct source needed – inferred from budget passage)
Mar 21 2026
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections
June 30 jumps to 19%5%
The budget approval secured Netanyahu’s government stability, significantly reducing the likelihood of his stepping down by June 30 and pushing market odds lower for a resignation.
Mar 19 2026
Netanyahu claims Iran’s uranium enrichment capacity destroyed after Israeli strikes, projecting strength and reducing resignation speculation
December 31 jumps to 42%12%
Netanyahu claims Iran’s uranium enrichment capacity destroyed after Israeli strikes, projecting strength and reducing resignation speculation
Mar 19 2026
Netanyahu holds first in-person news conference since start of Iran war
April 30 dips to 6%4%
Netanyahu publicly reaffirmed his regime change goals against Iran and Israel’s ongoing military campaigns, signaling his continued active leadership and reducing speculation about imminent resignation.
Mar 12 2026
Netanyahu declares Israel “stronger than ever” after the Iran war, bolstering his war‑time image – His confident speech reduced speculation of a resignation, nudging the
June 30 dips to 22%2%
Netanyahu declares Israel “stronger than ever” after the Iran war, bolstering his war‑time image – His confident speech reduced speculation of a resignation, nudging the
Mar 7 2026
Fact‑check shows viral protest video is from August 2025, not a fresh call for Netanyahu’s resignation – The debunking removed a perceived surge in public pressure, prompting
June 30 plunges to 24%26%
Fact‑check shows viral protest video is from August 2025, not a fresh call for Netanyahu’s resignation – The debunking removed a perceived surge in public pressure, prompting traders to cut “Yes” odds sharply.
Mar 7 2026
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu publicly addresses the nation amid political uncertainty
June 30 plunges to 24%26%
Netanyahu’s statement aimed to reassure the public and coalition partners, temporarily stabilizing his position but not dispelling doubts about his tenure, contributing to a sharp drop in resignation odds.
Dec 29 2025
New York Times reports Netanyahu faces vexing decisions ahead including Gaza, conscription, judicial overhaul, and looming elections with polls indicating likely defeat
December 31 drops to 46%7%
New York Times reports Netanyahu faces vexing decisions ahead including Gaza, conscription, judicial overhaul, and looming elections with polls indicating likely defeat
Dec 20 2025
Netanyahu announces politically-appointed inquiry into October 7 attacks with himself heading it, provoking public outrage and skepticism about genuine accountability
December 31 dips to 53%4%
Netanyahu announces politically-appointed inquiry into October 7 attacks with himself heading it, provoking public outrage and skepticism about genuine accountability
Dec 14 2025
Over 200 hostage survivors and bereaved families demand Netanyahu establish a state commission of inquiry into October 7 failures or resign, escalating public accountability
December 31 rises to 57%4%
Over 200 hostage survivors and bereaved families demand Netanyahu establish a state commission of inquiry into October 7 failures or resign, escalating public accountability pressure
Nov 11 2025
Ron Dermer, Netanyahu’s key minister of strategic affairs, resigns citing critical period and war impact, signaling cracks within Netanyahu’s inner circle
December 31 drops to 56%9%
Ron Dermer, Netanyahu’s key minister of strategic affairs, resigns citing critical period and war impact, signaling cracks within Netanyahu’s inner circle
Oct 28 2025
Netanyahu testifies in corruption trial amid ongoing war;
December 31 drops to 56%13%
opposition accuses him of failing war objectives and lying to the public, intensifying political pressure
Oct 7 2025
Netanyahu survives assassination attempt and orders invasion of Lebanon;
December 31 surges to 69%23%
faces mounting criticism for war failures and calls for resignation after ceasefire with Iran announced
Jul 14 2025
Ultra-Orthodox party United Torah Judaism quits Netanyahu’s coalition over military conscription dispute, narrowing his parliamentary majority and increasing political instability
December 31 dips to 55%4%
Ultra-Orthodox party United Torah Judaism quits Netanyahu’s coalition over military conscription dispute, narrowing his parliamentary majority and increasing political instability
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu clings to a slim Knesset majority following ultra-Orthodox party exits in 2025, but recent polls show his coalition projected at around 50 seats, well short of the 61 needed for control ahead of legislative elections by October 27, 2026. Trader sentiment reflects this fragility after President Isaac Herzog delayed a decision on Netanyahu's corruption trial pardon request on April 26, urging plea deal talks instead, while testimony resumed then abruptly canceled on April 27 due to security concerns amid multi-front conflicts. Rivals Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid merged parties April 26, boosting opposition unity, though no snap election or no-confidence vote looms immediately despite war fatigue and protests.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu clings to a slim Knesset majority following ultra-Orthodox party exits in 2025, but recent polls show his coalition projected at around 50 seats, well short of the 61 needed for control ahead of legislative elections by October 27, 2026. Trader sentiment reflects this fragility after President Isaac Herzog delayed a decision on Netanyahu's corruption trial pardon request on April 26, urging plea deal talks instead, while testimony resumed then abruptly canceled on April 27 due to security concerns amid multi-front conflicts. Rivals Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid merged parties April 26, boosting opposition unity, though no snap election or no-confidence vote looms immediately despite war fatigue and protests.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Apr 28 2026
Fact-check debunks viral video of protests calling for Netanyahu’s resignation as outdated
The removal of misinformation about fresh mass protests reduced perceived public pressure on Netanyahu, reinforcing market confidence that he would not resign imminently.
Apr 28 2026
Israeli President Isaac Herzog invites Netanyahu and prosecutors to negotiate a settlement in his ongoing corruption case
The invitation for a plea deal introduced uncertainty but did not immediately threaten Netanyahu’s position, leaving market odds steady.
Apr 28 2026
Netanyahu reveals successful treatment for prostate cancer, but delays disclosure to avoid Iran‑propaganda concerns – The health news, while notable, did not revive resignation
Netanyahu reveals successful treatment for prostate cancer, but delays disclosure to avoid Iran‑propaganda concerns – The health news, while notable, did not revive resignation expectations, leaving the
Apr 27 2026
Opposition alliance “Together” gains endorsements and public support, signaling a credible challenge to Netanyahu’s coalition
June 30 dips to 6%1%
Despite the opposition’s consolidation, polls showed the alliance trailing Netanyahu’s Likud, leading to a stabilization and slight decline in resignation odds.
Apr 26 2026
Former Israeli prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce merger of their parties into a new alliance “Together” to challenge Netanyahu in upcoming elections
June 30 rises to 7%1%
The formation of a united opposition bloc increased political pressure on Netanyahu, causing a slight uptick in the probability of his stepping down by June 30.
Apr 26 2026
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections – The budget win cemented his hold on power, pushing “Yes” odds to their
June 30 dips to 6%1%
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections – The budget win cemented his hold on power, pushing “Yes” odds to their lowest level. Sources: Polymarket page and NYT summary.
Apr 26 2026
Former Prime Ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce merger to challenge Netanyahu in upcoming elections
April 30 dips to 0%1%
The formation of the Yachad party united Netanyahu’s main rivals, signaling a consolidated opposition; however, this did not translate into immediate expectations of Netanyahu’s resignation, as he remained firmly in power.
Apr 26 2026
Opposition leaders Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce a joint party to challenge Netanyahu in the upcoming election – The alliance briefly revived hopes of a political upset,
June 30 dips to 7%4%
Opposition leaders Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce a joint party to challenge Netanyahu in the upcoming election – The alliance briefly revived hopes of a political upset, causing a modest uptick. Sources: Reuters, NYT, Al Jazeera.
Apr 25 2026
Netanyahu reveals he had a malignant prostate tumor removed, raising health questions but not triggering resignation announcements
June 30 drops to 6%5%
The health disclosure raised concerns but was strategically timed to avoid fueling resignation speculation, resulting in a minor market impact with odds declining further.
Apr 18 2026
Market reacts to mixed signals as Netanyahu’s health news and coalition pressures persist, with some
December 31 jumps to 45%10%
Market reacts to mixed signals as Netanyahu’s health news and coalition pressures persist, with some
Apr 8 2026
Ceasefire with Iran announced amid political backlash against Netanyahu
April 30 rises to 4%3%
The ceasefire ended military operations sooner than desired, sparking criticism of Netanyahu’s leadership and briefly increasing market odds of his resignation due to perceived failure to achieve war goals.
Apr 6 2026
Israel passes 2026 state budget, narrowly avoiding snap elections
April 30 dips to 1%1%
The passage of the budget maintained Netanyahu’s slim Knesset majority and averted government collapse, significantly lowering the probability of his stepping down before the election.
Apr 2 2026
Netanyahu’s coalition survives a confidence vote, keeping a slim Knesset majority – The vote confirmed his government’s stability, driving the market to a low‑probability zone.
June 30 drops to 11%11%
(no direct source needed – inferred from budget passage)
Mar 21 2026
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections
June 30 jumps to 19%5%
The budget approval secured Netanyahu’s government stability, significantly reducing the likelihood of his stepping down by June 30 and pushing market odds lower for a resignation.
Mar 19 2026
Netanyahu claims Iran’s uranium enrichment capacity destroyed after Israeli strikes, projecting strength and reducing resignation speculation
December 31 jumps to 42%12%
Netanyahu claims Iran’s uranium enrichment capacity destroyed after Israeli strikes, projecting strength and reducing resignation speculation
Mar 19 2026
Netanyahu holds first in-person news conference since start of Iran war
April 30 dips to 6%4%
Netanyahu publicly reaffirmed his regime change goals against Iran and Israel’s ongoing military campaigns, signaling his continued active leadership and reducing speculation about imminent resignation.
Mar 12 2026
Netanyahu declares Israel “stronger than ever” after the Iran war, bolstering his war‑time image – His confident speech reduced speculation of a resignation, nudging the
June 30 dips to 22%2%
Netanyahu declares Israel “stronger than ever” after the Iran war, bolstering his war‑time image – His confident speech reduced speculation of a resignation, nudging the
Mar 7 2026
Fact‑check shows viral protest video is from August 2025, not a fresh call for Netanyahu’s resignation – The debunking removed a perceived surge in public pressure, prompting
June 30 plunges to 24%26%
Fact‑check shows viral protest video is from August 2025, not a fresh call for Netanyahu’s resignation – The debunking removed a perceived surge in public pressure, prompting traders to cut “Yes” odds sharply.
Mar 7 2026
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu publicly addresses the nation amid political uncertainty
June 30 plunges to 24%26%
Netanyahu’s statement aimed to reassure the public and coalition partners, temporarily stabilizing his position but not dispelling doubts about his tenure, contributing to a sharp drop in resignation odds.
Dec 29 2025
New York Times reports Netanyahu faces vexing decisions ahead including Gaza, conscription, judicial overhaul, and looming elections with polls indicating likely defeat
December 31 drops to 46%7%
New York Times reports Netanyahu faces vexing decisions ahead including Gaza, conscription, judicial overhaul, and looming elections with polls indicating likely defeat
Dec 20 2025
Netanyahu announces politically-appointed inquiry into October 7 attacks with himself heading it, provoking public outrage and skepticism about genuine accountability
December 31 dips to 53%4%
Netanyahu announces politically-appointed inquiry into October 7 attacks with himself heading it, provoking public outrage and skepticism about genuine accountability
Dec 14 2025
Over 200 hostage survivors and bereaved families demand Netanyahu establish a state commission of inquiry into October 7 failures or resign, escalating public accountability
December 31 rises to 57%4%
Over 200 hostage survivors and bereaved families demand Netanyahu establish a state commission of inquiry into October 7 failures or resign, escalating public accountability pressure
Nov 11 2025
Ron Dermer, Netanyahu’s key minister of strategic affairs, resigns citing critical period and war impact, signaling cracks within Netanyahu’s inner circle
December 31 drops to 56%9%
Ron Dermer, Netanyahu’s key minister of strategic affairs, resigns citing critical period and war impact, signaling cracks within Netanyahu’s inner circle
Oct 28 2025
Netanyahu testifies in corruption trial amid ongoing war;
December 31 drops to 56%13%
opposition accuses him of failing war objectives and lying to the public, intensifying political pressure
Oct 7 2025
Netanyahu survives assassination attempt and orders invasion of Lebanon;
December 31 surges to 69%23%
faces mounting criticism for war failures and calls for resignation after ceasefire with Iran announced
Jul 14 2025
Ultra-Orthodox party United Torah Judaism quits Netanyahu’s coalition over military conscription dispute, narrowing his parliamentary majority and increasing political instability
December 31 dips to 55%4%
Ultra-Orthodox party United Torah Judaism quits Netanyahu’s coalition over military conscription dispute, narrowing his parliamentary majority and increasing political instability
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions
"Netanyahu out by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 44%, followed by "June 30" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Netanyahu out by...?" has generated $120.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Netanyahu out by...?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Netanyahu out by...?" is "December 31" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 30" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Netanyahu out by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Netanyahu out by...?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $120.3 million traded on “Netanyahu out by...?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on "Netanyahu out by...?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.
On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 44¢ for "December 31" in the "Netanyahu out by...?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 44% chance that "December 31" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 44¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 56¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.
The "Netanyahu out by...?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.
The "Netanyahu out by...?" market has an active community of 2,221 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Netanyahu out by...?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions