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Hormoz predictions & odds

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Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

1%

40+

$1M Vol.

$33.9K Liq.

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

98%

0-10

$231K Vol.

$67.6K Liq.

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

50%

10-20

$0 Vol.

$663 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

42%

May 31

$11M Vol.

$585K today

$340K Liq.

266

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

1%

April 30

$4M Vol.

$29.8K Liq.

174

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

1%

$434K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

52

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

18%

$47.4K Vol.

$90.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

50%

25-49

$0 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

75%

20+

$3.5K Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

1%

United Kingdom

$3M Vol.

$71.4K Liq.

143

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

7%

$5M Vol.

$828K today

$400K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

62%

25-49

$44.7K Vol.

$109K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

47%

$2M Vol.

$356K today

$233K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Nothing Ever Happens: April

99%

Nothing

$71.5K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

<1%

$37M Vol.

$2M today

$576K Liq.

3

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

22%

$5M Vol.

$370K today

$296K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

24%

10-14

$1.9K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

82%

<5

$15.4K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

18%

15-19

$1.2K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

5%

$411K Vol.

$91.8K today

$43.8K Liq.

33

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hormoz.

Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Hormoz that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $69.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hormoz predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.