Recent Putin-Trump discussions on a temporary ceasefire coinciding with Russia's May 9 Victory Day anniversary have elevated trader consensus to 55% for a full Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2027, signaling diplomatic thaw amid frontline stalemate. Ukraine seeks U.S. clarification on Moscow's proposal—framed by Kyiv as a potential "parade stunt"—while advocating a long-term truce, echoing mutual violations claims during the April Orthodox Easter pause. Ukrainian intelligence head Budanov described U.S.-brokered peace talks as progressing despite maximalist positions, with converging views on territorial limits and expected envoy visits by Witkoff and Kushner. Ongoing Russian Donbas advances and Ukrainian energy strikes underscore de-escalation pressures over 19 months to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
$191,599 Vol.
$191,599 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
$191,599 Vol.
$191,599 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Recent Putin-Trump discussions on a temporary ceasefire coinciding with Russia's May 9 Victory Day anniversary have elevated trader consensus to 55% for a full Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2027, signaling diplomatic thaw amid frontline stalemate. Ukraine seeks U.S. clarification on Moscow's proposal—framed by Kyiv as a potential "parade stunt"—while advocating a long-term truce, echoing mutual violations claims during the April Orthodox Easter pause. Ukrainian intelligence head Budanov described U.S.-brokered peace talks as progressing despite maximalist positions, with converging views on territorial limits and expected envoy visits by Witkoff and Kushner. Ongoing Russian Donbas advances and Ukrainian energy strikes underscore de-escalation pressures over 19 months to resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Volume
$191,599End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Recent Putin-Trump discussions on a temporary ceasefire coinciding with Russia's May 9 Victory Day anniversary have elevated trader consensus to 55% for a full Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2027, signaling diplomatic thaw amid frontline stalemate. Ukraine seeks U.S. clarification on Moscow's proposal—framed by Kyiv as a potential "parade stunt"—while advocating a long-term truce, echoing mutual violations claims during the April Orthodox Easter pause. Ukrainian intelligence head Budanov described U.S.-brokered peace talks as progressing despite maximalist positions, with converging views on territorial limits and expected envoy visits by Witkoff and Kushner. Ongoing Russian Donbas advances and Ukrainian energy strikes underscore de-escalation pressures over 19 months to resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Volume
$191,599End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Putin-Trump discussions on a temporary ceasefire coinciding with Russia's May 9 Victory Day anniversary have elevated trader consensus to 55% for a full Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2027, signaling diplomatic thaw amid frontline stalemate. Ukraine seeks U.S. clarification on Moscow's proposal—framed by Kyiv as a potential "parade stunt"—while advocating a long-term truce, echoing mutual violations claims during the April Orthodox Easter pause. Ukrainian intelligence head Budanov described U.S.-brokered peace talks as progressing despite maximalist positions, with converging views on territorial limits and expected envoy visits by Witkoff and Kushner. Ongoing Russian Donbas advances and Ukrainian energy strikes underscore de-escalation pressures over 19 months to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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