Skip to main content

Blackout predictions & odds

·
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

27%

June 30

$456K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

46

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 26 - May 2)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 26 - May 2)

75%

0

$3.4K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 1 day

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

92%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$67.2K today

$5.3K Liq.

120

Ends in 2 months

What price will Ethena hit in April?

What price will Ethena hit in April?

2%

↑ 0.16

$13.0K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in about 8 hours

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

77%

December 31, 2027

$466K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

32

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

1%

↓ $2.40

$377K Vol.

$44.3K Liq.

3

Ends in about 8 hours

Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs UNiTY esports (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs UNiTY esports (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

100%

UNiTY esports

$20.3K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

42%

May 31

$11M Vol.

$579K today

$343K Liq.

266

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

62%

↑ $3.00

$1.7K Vol.

$284 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

12%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

57

Counter-Strike: tincan vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: tincan vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

Banger Gang

$360 Vol.

$0 Liq.

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

40%

2

$15.4K Vol.

$24.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Glitchtech Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Glitchtech Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

Glitchtech Esports

$253 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffs

86%

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

$5.6K Vol.

$15.3K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

What price will Chainlink hit in April?

What price will Chainlink hit in April?

92%

↑ 10

$19.2K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

Ends in about 8 hours

Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Infinite (BO1) - Esplay Elite Gaming Group A

Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Infinite (BO1) - Esplay Elite Gaming Group A

50%

Infinite

$0 Vol.

$652 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season

LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season

100%

SU Esports

$58.7K Vol.

$0 Liq.

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$630K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

51%

Eternal Fire

$9 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs

Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs

100%

DashSkins

$1.9K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Blackout.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Blackout that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Internet Access restored in Iran by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $18.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs UNiTY esports (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 42% chance to May 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Blackout predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.