Trader consensus on Supreme Leader Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting volume from May 1-8 heavily favors low activity, with under 5 posts at 40.5% and 5-9 at 32.5%, reflecting a 17-day silence since the April 13 archival statement on Prophet Jesus amid no major diplomatic announcements, regional escalations, or Iranian commemorations. This recent lull—following clustered posts like five from April 1-7 on U.S. policy and Zionism—keeps the race tight, as historical variability around Resistance Front developments or holidays like Easter has produced weekly bursts up to 10. Geopolitical catalysts, such as Middle East tensions or official statements, could spike output and separate outcomes before the May 8 cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?
15-19 19%
10-14 16%
25-29 13%
40-44 6%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
<5
36%
5-9
42%
10-14
16%
15-19
19%
20-24
14%
25-29
13%
30-34
10%
35-39
7%
40-44
6%
45-49
3%
50-54
3%
55-59
2%
60+
2%
15-19 19%
10-14 16%
25-29 13%
40-44 6%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
<5
$40 Vol.
36%
5-9
$5 Vol.
42%
10-14
$0 Vol.
16%
15-19
$0 Vol.
19%
20-24
$80 Vol.
14%
25-29
$80 Vol.
13%
30-34
$120 Vol.
10%
35-39
$113 Vol.
7%
40-44
$113 Vol.
6%
45-49
$120 Vol.
3%
50-54
$113 Vol.
3%
55-59
$130 Vol.
2%
60+
$255 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Supreme Leader Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting volume from May 1-8 heavily favors low activity, with under 5 posts at 40.5% and 5-9 at 32.5%, reflecting a 17-day silence since the April 13 archival statement on Prophet Jesus amid no major diplomatic announcements, regional escalations, or Iranian commemorations. This recent lull—following clustered posts like five from April 1-7 on U.S. policy and Zionism—keeps the race tight, as historical variability around Resistance Front developments or holidays like Easter has produced weekly bursts up to 10. Geopolitical catalysts, such as Middle East tensions or official statements, could spike output and separate outcomes before the May 8 cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$1,170End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Supreme Leader Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting volume from May 1-8 heavily favors low activity, with under 5 posts at 40.5% and 5-9 at 32.5%, reflecting a 17-day silence since the April 13 archival statement on Prophet Jesus amid no major diplomatic announcements, regional escalations, or Iranian commemorations. This recent lull—following clustered posts like five from April 1-7 on U.S. policy and Zionism—keeps the race tight, as historical variability around Resistance Front developments or holidays like Easter has produced weekly bursts up to 10. Geopolitical catalysts, such as Middle East tensions or official statements, could spike output and separate outcomes before the May 8 cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,170End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Supreme Leader Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting volume from May 1-8 heavily favors low activity, with under 5 posts at 40.5% and 5-9 at 32.5%, reflecting a 17-day silence since the April 13 archival statement on Prophet Jesus amid no major diplomatic announcements, regional escalations, or Iranian commemorations. This recent lull—following clustered posts like five from April 1-7 on U.S. policy and Zionism—keeps the race tight, as historical variability around Resistance Front developments or holidays like Easter has produced weekly bursts up to 10. Geopolitical catalysts, such as Middle East tensions or official statements, could spike output and separate outcomes before the May 8 cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions