Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% in July, edging out a 42.5% chance of a hike amid robust Q1 2026 GDP growth of 1.7% quarter-on-quarter—fueled by semiconductor exports and 4.8% facility investment gains—that beat estimates and released April 22. March CPI inflation rose to 2.2% year-on-year, up from February's 2.0% but below forecasts, reinforcing the central bank's data-dependent stance after its unanimous April 10 hold for the seventh straight meeting. Geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions temper aggressive easing or hiking, with the May 28 policy decision as the next key catalyst influencing July path expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBank of Korea decision in July?
Bank of Korea decision in July?
No Change 57%
Increase 42%
Decrease 1.6%
$12,579 Vol.
$12,579 Vol.
Decrease
2%
No Change
57%
Increase
42%
No Change 57%
Increase 42%
Decrease 1.6%
$12,579 Vol.
$12,579 Vol.
Decrease
2%
No Change
57%
Increase
42%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% in July, edging out a 42.5% chance of a hike amid robust Q1 2026 GDP growth of 1.7% quarter-on-quarter—fueled by semiconductor exports and 4.8% facility investment gains—that beat estimates and released April 22. March CPI inflation rose to 2.2% year-on-year, up from February's 2.0% but below forecasts, reinforcing the central bank's data-dependent stance after its unanimous April 10 hold for the seventh straight meeting. Geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions temper aggressive easing or hiking, with the May 28 policy decision as the next key catalyst influencing July path expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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