The tight race between 33°C and 34°C as leading outcomes reflects typical early June conditions in Manila, where historical PAGASA data show average daily highs of 32–33°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover and scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms can suppress peak heating by limiting solar insolation, while clearer intervals or urban heat island effects in Metro Manila may allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Sea surface temperatures near normal and light to moderate winds from the southwest further modulate daytime maxima, with model consensus pointing to modest uncertainty in precipitation timing that differentiates these adjacent thresholds ahead of final observations on June 12.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on June 12?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 12?
34°C 38%
33°C 31%
35°C 13%
36°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
31%
34°C
38%
35°C
13%
36°C
9%
37°C or higher
2%
34°C 38%
33°C 31%
35°C 13%
36°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
27°C or below
$120 Vol.
1%
28°C
$120 Vol.
1%
29°C
$35 Vol.
1%
30°C
$45 Vol.
1%
31°C
$292 Vol.
3%
32°C
$10 Vol.
8%
33°C
$16 Vol.
31%
34°C
$18 Vol.
38%
35°C
$0 Vol.
13%
36°C
$0 Vol.
9%
37°C or higher
$29 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight race between 33°C and 34°C as leading outcomes reflects typical early June conditions in Manila, where historical PAGASA data show average daily highs of 32–33°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover and scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms can suppress peak heating by limiting solar insolation, while clearer intervals or urban heat island effects in Metro Manila may allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Sea surface temperatures near normal and light to moderate winds from the southwest further modulate daytime maxima, with model consensus pointing to modest uncertainty in precipitation timing that differentiates these adjacent thresholds ahead of final observations on June 12.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$486End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight race between 33°C and 34°C as leading outcomes reflects typical early June conditions in Manila, where historical PAGASA data show average daily highs of 32–33°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover and scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms can suppress peak heating by limiting solar insolation, while clearer intervals or urban heat island effects in Metro Manila may allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Sea surface temperatures near normal and light to moderate winds from the southwest further modulate daytime maxima, with model consensus pointing to modest uncertainty in precipitation timing that differentiates these adjacent thresholds ahead of final observations on June 12.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$486End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight race between 33°C and 34°C as leading outcomes reflects typical early June conditions in Manila, where historical PAGASA data show average daily highs of 32–33°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover and scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms can suppress peak heating by limiting solar insolation, while clearer intervals or urban heat island effects in Metro Manila may allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Sea surface temperatures near normal and light to moderate winds from the southwest further modulate daytime maxima, with model consensus pointing to modest uncertainty in precipitation timing that differentiates these adjacent thresholds ahead of final observations on June 12.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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