Trader sentiment for Chengdu's June 10 high clusters around 29–31°C due to short-term forecast models showing modest daytime warming amid typical early-summer monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover. Historical climatology places early-June averages near 29°C, with recent model guidance indicating potential for brief clearing that could push peaks to 31°C while scattered showers or thicker cloud decks may cap readings at 29°C. This narrow spread of market-implied odds reflects genuine uncertainty in local boundary-layer conditions and the precise timing of any convective activity, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations from the city's meteorological stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 10?
30°C 24%
29°C 22%
31°C 20%
28°C 16%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
22%
30°C
24%
31°C
20%
32°C
12%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 24%
29°C 22%
31°C 20%
28°C 16%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
22%
30°C
24%
31°C
20%
32°C
12%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chengdu's June 10 high clusters around 29–31°C due to short-term forecast models showing modest daytime warming amid typical early-summer monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover. Historical climatology places early-June averages near 29°C, with recent model guidance indicating potential for brief clearing that could push peaks to 31°C while scattered showers or thicker cloud decks may cap readings at 29°C. This narrow spread of market-implied odds reflects genuine uncertainty in local boundary-layer conditions and the precise timing of any convective activity, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations from the city's meteorological stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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