Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and climatological data indicate typical early-June highs in Seoul of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity before the monsoon intensifies. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24°C and 25°C. Short-term model runs show limited day-to-day variability for June 12, though minor shifts in cloud cover or frontal passage could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical baselines place early-June peaks near 25°C on average, with rare excursions above 27°C or below 23°C at this time of year. Updated official guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on the highest recorded temperature at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on June 12?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 12?
25°C 34%
24°C 32%
23°C 14%
26°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
14%
24°C
32%
25°C
34%
26°C
12%
27°C or higher
5%
25°C 34%
24°C 32%
23°C 14%
26°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
17°C or below
$116 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$720 Vol.
1%
22°C
$407 Vol.
4%
23°C
$298 Vol.
14%
24°C
$237 Vol.
32%
25°C
$235 Vol.
34%
26°C
$201 Vol.
12%
27°C or higher
$105 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and climatological data indicate typical early-June highs in Seoul of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity before the monsoon intensifies. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24°C and 25°C. Short-term model runs show limited day-to-day variability for June 12, though minor shifts in cloud cover or frontal passage could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical baselines place early-June peaks near 25°C on average, with rare excursions above 27°C or below 23°C at this time of year. Updated official guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on the highest recorded temperature at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,526End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and climatological data indicate typical early-June highs in Seoul of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity before the monsoon intensifies. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24°C and 25°C. Short-term model runs show limited day-to-day variability for June 12, though minor shifts in cloud cover or frontal passage could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical baselines place early-June peaks near 25°C on average, with rare excursions above 27°C or below 23°C at this time of year. Updated official guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on the highest recorded temperature at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,526End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and climatological data indicate typical early-June highs in Seoul of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity before the monsoon intensifies. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24°C and 25°C. Short-term model runs show limited day-to-day variability for June 12, though minor shifts in cloud cover or frontal passage could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical baselines place early-June peaks near 25°C on average, with rare excursions above 27°C or below 23°C at this time of year. Updated official guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on the highest recorded temperature at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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