Recent meteorological forecasts for Karachi point to a peak temperature of 37–38°C on June 12 as the most probable outcome, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the market’s leading probabilities. Persistent pre-monsoon heatwave conditions, reinforced by a Pakistan Meteorological Department alert extending through mid-June, have elevated baseline readings above the long-term June average of roughly 34–36°C. Westerly winds and high humidity are limiting rapid cooling overnight while daytime solar heating and regional pressure patterns sustain elevated maxima. Updated model runs from agencies including the Met Office show limited spread, with most guidance clustering in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius and only modest potential for a 39°C outlier if steering currents weaken further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on June 12?
Highest temperature in Karachi on June 12?
37°C 40%
38°C 23%
36°C 17%
39°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
3%
35°C
4%
36°C
17%
37°C
40%
38°C
23%
39°C
10%
40°C
3%
41°C or higher
1%
37°C 40%
38°C 23%
36°C 17%
39°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
31°C or below
$477 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$509 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$873 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$430 Vol.
3%
35°C
$59 Vol.
4%
36°C
$337 Vol.
17%
37°C
$115 Vol.
40%
38°C
$12 Vol.
23%
39°C
$57 Vol.
10%
40°C
$315 Vol.
3%
41°C or higher
$30 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Karachi point to a peak temperature of 37–38°C on June 12 as the most probable outcome, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the market’s leading probabilities. Persistent pre-monsoon heatwave conditions, reinforced by a Pakistan Meteorological Department alert extending through mid-June, have elevated baseline readings above the long-term June average of roughly 34–36°C. Westerly winds and high humidity are limiting rapid cooling overnight while daytime solar heating and regional pressure patterns sustain elevated maxima. Updated model runs from agencies including the Met Office show limited spread, with most guidance clustering in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius and only modest potential for a 39°C outlier if steering currents weaken further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$3,214End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Karachi point to a peak temperature of 37–38°C on June 12 as the most probable outcome, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the market’s leading probabilities. Persistent pre-monsoon heatwave conditions, reinforced by a Pakistan Meteorological Department alert extending through mid-June, have elevated baseline readings above the long-term June average of roughly 34–36°C. Westerly winds and high humidity are limiting rapid cooling overnight while daytime solar heating and regional pressure patterns sustain elevated maxima. Updated model runs from agencies including the Met Office show limited spread, with most guidance clustering in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius and only modest potential for a 39°C outlier if steering currents weaken further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,214End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Karachi point to a peak temperature of 37–38°C on June 12 as the most probable outcome, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the market’s leading probabilities. Persistent pre-monsoon heatwave conditions, reinforced by a Pakistan Meteorological Department alert extending through mid-June, have elevated baseline readings above the long-term June average of roughly 34–36°C. Westerly winds and high humidity are limiting rapid cooling overnight while daytime solar heating and regional pressure patterns sustain elevated maxima. Updated model runs from agencies including the Met Office show limited spread, with most guidance clustering in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius and only modest potential for a 39°C outlier if steering currents weaken further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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