Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and international agencies point to a highest temperature of 22–23°C in Mexico City on June 9, aligning with the near-even market-implied odds for those outcomes. High elevation near 2,240 meters and early wet-season cloud cover with passing showers are moderating daytime heating, preventing stronger solar input that could push readings toward 24°C or above. Historical June averages hover near 24°C, but recent patterns show increased humidity and reduced insolation keeping maxima 1–2°C cooler. Traders weigh these variables against potential clearer intervals that could allow brief warming, with resolution depending on official station measurements by day's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 9?
22°C 29%
23°C 28%
21°C 26.4%
24°C 15%
$13,435 Vol.
$13,435 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
26%
22°C
29%
23°C
28%
24°C
15%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 29%
23°C 28%
21°C 26.4%
24°C 15%
$13,435 Vol.
$13,435 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
26%
22°C
29%
23°C
28%
24°C
15%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and international agencies point to a highest temperature of 22–23°C in Mexico City on June 9, aligning with the near-even market-implied odds for those outcomes. High elevation near 2,240 meters and early wet-season cloud cover with passing showers are moderating daytime heating, preventing stronger solar input that could push readings toward 24°C or above. Historical June averages hover near 24°C, but recent patterns show increased humidity and reduced insolation keeping maxima 1–2°C cooler. Traders weigh these variables against potential clearer intervals that could allow brief warming, with resolution depending on official station measurements by day's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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