Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Guangzhou on June 10, reflecting consensus from regional forecast models showing typical early-summer monsoon conditions with daytime highs in the low 30s. Subtropical high pressure and southeasterly flow support gradual warming, while afternoon convective showers—common in June—can limit maximum readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical climatology places average June highs near 31–32°C, with urban heat-island effects and humidity levels above 80 percent adding slight upward bias on clearer days. Model spread remains modest for this short lead time, but any shift in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C either way ahead of official verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 10?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 10?
31°C 29%
32°C 25%
33°C 17%
30°C 16%
NEW
$16,862 Vol.
NEW
$16,862 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
16%
31°C
29%
32°C
25%
33°C
17%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 29%
32°C 25%
33°C 17%
30°C 16%
NEW
$16,862 Vol.
NEW
$16,862 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
27°C or below
$2,405 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$762 Vol.
1%
29°C
$570 Vol.
9%
30°C
$259 Vol.
16%
31°C
$320 Vol.
29%
32°C
$535 Vol.
25%
33°C
$544 Vol.
17%
34°C
$1,168 Vol.
4%
35°C
$2,528 Vol.
1%
36°C
$4,640 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$3,216 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Guangzhou on June 10, reflecting consensus from regional forecast models showing typical early-summer monsoon conditions with daytime highs in the low 30s. Subtropical high pressure and southeasterly flow support gradual warming, while afternoon convective showers—common in June—can limit maximum readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical climatology places average June highs near 31–32°C, with urban heat-island effects and humidity levels above 80 percent adding slight upward bias on clearer days. Model spread remains modest for this short lead time, but any shift in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C either way ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$16,862End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Guangzhou on June 10, reflecting consensus from regional forecast models showing typical early-summer monsoon conditions with daytime highs in the low 30s. Subtropical high pressure and southeasterly flow support gradual warming, while afternoon convective showers—common in June—can limit maximum readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical climatology places average June highs near 31–32°C, with urban heat-island effects and humidity levels above 80 percent adding slight upward bias on clearer days. Model spread remains modest for this short lead time, but any shift in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C either way ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,862End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Guangzhou on June 10, reflecting consensus from regional forecast models showing typical early-summer monsoon conditions with daytime highs in the low 30s. Subtropical high pressure and southeasterly flow support gradual warming, while afternoon convective showers—common in June—can limit maximum readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical climatology places average June highs near 31–32°C, with urban heat-island effects and humidity levels above 80 percent adding slight upward bias on clearer days. Model spread remains modest for this short lead time, but any shift in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C either way ahead of official verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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