Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow indicate daytime highs centered around 29–31°C on June 12, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes. Official model runs show variable steering patterns and modest instability that could produce isolated warming or cooling of 1–2°C depending on cloud cover and wind shifts. Short-range ensembles maintain this narrow range while highlighting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and surface heating rates two days ahead. Historical June maxima in the region average near 23°C, underscoring the above-normal conditions currently priced in. Updated model guidance and observational data through June 11 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 12?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 12?
30°C 34%
29°C 21%
31°C 21%
28°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
26°C or below
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
21%
30°C
34%
31°C
21%
32°C
6%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
29°C 21%
31°C 21%
28°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
26°C or below
$36 Vol.
3%
27°C
$19 Vol.
5%
28°C
$0 Vol.
6%
29°C
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C
$42 Vol.
34%
31°C
$75 Vol.
21%
32°C
$0 Vol.
6%
33°C
$0 Vol.
4%
34°C
$45 Vol.
2%
35°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow indicate daytime highs centered around 29–31°C on June 12, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes. Official model runs show variable steering patterns and modest instability that could produce isolated warming or cooling of 1–2°C depending on cloud cover and wind shifts. Short-range ensembles maintain this narrow range while highlighting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and surface heating rates two days ahead. Historical June maxima in the region average near 23°C, underscoring the above-normal conditions currently priced in. Updated model guidance and observational data through June 11 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 1:10 AM ET
Volume
$1,571End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 1:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow indicate daytime highs centered around 29–31°C on June 12, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes. Official model runs show variable steering patterns and modest instability that could produce isolated warming or cooling of 1–2°C depending on cloud cover and wind shifts. Short-range ensembles maintain this narrow range while highlighting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and surface heating rates two days ahead. Historical June maxima in the region average near 23°C, underscoring the above-normal conditions currently priced in. Updated model guidance and observational data through June 11 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,571End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 1:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow indicate daytime highs centered around 29–31°C on June 12, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes. Official model runs show variable steering patterns and modest instability that could produce isolated warming or cooling of 1–2°C depending on cloud cover and wind shifts. Short-range ensembles maintain this narrow range while highlighting typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and surface heating rates two days ahead. Historical June maxima in the region average near 23°C, underscoring the above-normal conditions currently priced in. Updated model guidance and observational data through June 11 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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