Current forecast models point to typical mid-winter conditions in Cape Town, with daytime maxima likely near the seasonal 16–18°C average amid a series of weak cold fronts crossing the region through mid-June. These systems introduce variable cloud cover, southerly winds, and limited insolation that suppress warming, while light northerly flows or clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 19°C. Coastal sea surface temperatures and the strength of the approaching fronts remain key variables modulating the exact peak, with model runs showing divergence on timing and intensity two to three days ahead. The broad market distribution across 15–19°C outcomes reflects this inherent forecast uncertainty typical for short-range temperature resolution in a Mediterranean climate zone.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 12?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 12?
17°C 36%
16°C 24%
18°C 20%
15°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
14%
16°C
24%
17°C
36%
18°C
20%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 36%
16°C 24%
18°C 20%
15°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
11°C or below
$18 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$43 Vol.
1%
14°C
$91 Vol.
1%
15°C
$50 Vol.
14%
16°C
$37 Vol.
24%
17°C
$23 Vol.
36%
18°C
$18 Vol.
20%
19°C
$409 Vol.
4%
20°C
$30 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$70 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to typical mid-winter conditions in Cape Town, with daytime maxima likely near the seasonal 16–18°C average amid a series of weak cold fronts crossing the region through mid-June. These systems introduce variable cloud cover, southerly winds, and limited insolation that suppress warming, while light northerly flows or clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 19°C. Coastal sea surface temperatures and the strength of the approaching fronts remain key variables modulating the exact peak, with model runs showing divergence on timing and intensity two to three days ahead. The broad market distribution across 15–19°C outcomes reflects this inherent forecast uncertainty typical for short-range temperature resolution in a Mediterranean climate zone.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Volume
$807End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to typical mid-winter conditions in Cape Town, with daytime maxima likely near the seasonal 16–18°C average amid a series of weak cold fronts crossing the region through mid-June. These systems introduce variable cloud cover, southerly winds, and limited insolation that suppress warming, while light northerly flows or clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 19°C. Coastal sea surface temperatures and the strength of the approaching fronts remain key variables modulating the exact peak, with model runs showing divergence on timing and intensity two to three days ahead. The broad market distribution across 15–19°C outcomes reflects this inherent forecast uncertainty typical for short-range temperature resolution in a Mediterranean climate zone.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$807End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models point to typical mid-winter conditions in Cape Town, with daytime maxima likely near the seasonal 16–18°C average amid a series of weak cold fronts crossing the region through mid-June. These systems introduce variable cloud cover, southerly winds, and limited insolation that suppress warming, while light northerly flows or clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 19°C. Coastal sea surface temperatures and the strength of the approaching fronts remain key variables modulating the exact peak, with model runs showing divergence on timing and intensity two to three days ahead. The broad market distribution across 15–19°C outcomes reflects this inherent forecast uncertainty typical for short-range temperature resolution in a Mediterranean climate zone.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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