Current forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Munich on June 12 most likely near 18–20 °C, consistent with the market’s 51 % implied probability for 18 °C or higher. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average daily highs of 20–22 °C, with typical variability driven by shifting high-pressure systems and Atlantic airflow that can suppress or enhance daytime warming. Ensemble guidance from operational centers shows limited spread for the next 48 hours, with no strong signals for significant cooling or anomalous heat. Updated model runs over the past day have kept the most probable range stable, though small revisions in cloud cover or wind could still shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on June 12?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 12?
18°C or higher 51%
17°C 27%
16°C 16%
15°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
8%
16°C
16%
17°C
27%
18°C or higher
51%
18°C or higher 51%
17°C 27%
16°C 16%
15°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
8°C or below
$155 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$131 Vol.
1%
14°C
$736 Vol.
3%
15°C
$433 Vol.
8%
16°C
$64 Vol.
16%
17°C
$146 Vol.
27%
18°C or higher
$210 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Munich on June 12 most likely near 18–20 °C, consistent with the market’s 51 % implied probability for 18 °C or higher. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average daily highs of 20–22 °C, with typical variability driven by shifting high-pressure systems and Atlantic airflow that can suppress or enhance daytime warming. Ensemble guidance from operational centers shows limited spread for the next 48 hours, with no strong signals for significant cooling or anomalous heat. Updated model runs over the past day have kept the most probable range stable, though small revisions in cloud cover or wind could still shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Volume
$2,480End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Munich on June 12 most likely near 18–20 °C, consistent with the market’s 51 % implied probability for 18 °C or higher. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average daily highs of 20–22 °C, with typical variability driven by shifting high-pressure systems and Atlantic airflow that can suppress or enhance daytime warming. Ensemble guidance from operational centers shows limited spread for the next 48 hours, with no strong signals for significant cooling or anomalous heat. Updated model runs over the past day have kept the most probable range stable, though small revisions in cloud cover or wind could still shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,480End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Munich on June 12 most likely near 18–20 °C, consistent with the market’s 51 % implied probability for 18 °C or higher. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average daily highs of 20–22 °C, with typical variability driven by shifting high-pressure systems and Atlantic airflow that can suppress or enhance daytime warming. Ensemble guidance from operational centers shows limited spread for the next 48 hours, with no strong signals for significant cooling or anomalous heat. Updated model runs over the past day have kept the most probable range stable, though small revisions in cloud cover or wind could still shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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