Recent meteorological forecasts from global models indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C for Istanbul on June 12, aligning with the market's leading 37.5% implied probability on that outcome. Stable atmospheric conditions, moderate northerly flow, and typical early-summer solar insolation support this range, consistent with June climatological averages of 25–26°C highs. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling over the next 48 hours. Official observations from Turkish meteorological services will determine the exact peak, though current data shifts have reinforced trader consensus around 23–25°C thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 12?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 12?
24°C 38%
25°C 19%
23°C 15%
26°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
20%
24°C
38%
25°C
19%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 38%
25°C 19%
23°C 15%
26°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
18°C or below
$221 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$116 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$35 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
3%
22°C
$5 Vol.
4%
23°C
$36 Vol.
20%
24°C
$85 Vol.
38%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$43 Vol.
7%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C or higher
$328 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from global models indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C for Istanbul on June 12, aligning with the market's leading 37.5% implied probability on that outcome. Stable atmospheric conditions, moderate northerly flow, and typical early-summer solar insolation support this range, consistent with June climatological averages of 25–26°C highs. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling over the next 48 hours. Official observations from Turkish meteorological services will determine the exact peak, though current data shifts have reinforced trader consensus around 23–25°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Volumen
$866Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from global models indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C for Istanbul on June 12, aligning with the market's leading 37.5% implied probability on that outcome. Stable atmospheric conditions, moderate northerly flow, and typical early-summer solar insolation support this range, consistent with June climatological averages of 25–26°C highs. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling over the next 48 hours. Official observations from Turkish meteorological services will determine the exact peak, though current data shifts have reinforced trader consensus around 23–25°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$866Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from global models indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C for Istanbul on June 12, aligning with the market's leading 37.5% implied probability on that outcome. Stable atmospheric conditions, moderate northerly flow, and typical early-summer solar insolation support this range, consistent with June climatological averages of 25–26°C highs. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling over the next 48 hours. Official observations from Turkish meteorological services will determine the exact peak, though current data shifts have reinforced trader consensus around 23–25°C thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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