Recent short-range forecasts indicate June 10 will feature moderate rain or showers under a humid subtropical regime, with cloud cover and precipitation likely limiting peak heating and keeping the daily maximum near the 28–30 °C range. This aligns with Hong Kong Observatory expectations of above-normal seasonal temperatures offset by normal-to-below-normal rainfall, plus climatological June averages of roughly 30–31 °C that can drop several degrees on overcast, wet days. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming potential given southeasterly flow and high humidity, creating genuine uncertainty between 28 °C and 30 °C outcomes that traders have priced closely. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and refined model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key data releases that could shift the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 10?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 10?
29°C 29%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 12%
NEW
$24,634 Vol.
NEW
$24,634 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
22%
29°C
29%
30°C
26%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 29%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 12%
NEW
$24,634 Vol.
NEW
$24,634 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
24°C or below
$379 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$967 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$863 Vol.
1%
27°C
$3,485 Vol.
8%
28°C
$1,116 Vol.
22%
29°C
$1,925 Vol.
29%
30°C
$1,345 Vol.
26%
31°C
$1,213 Vol.
12%
32°C
$7,904 Vol.
2%
33°C
$4,021 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$1,994 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts indicate June 10 will feature moderate rain or showers under a humid subtropical regime, with cloud cover and precipitation likely limiting peak heating and keeping the daily maximum near the 28–30 °C range. This aligns with Hong Kong Observatory expectations of above-normal seasonal temperatures offset by normal-to-below-normal rainfall, plus climatological June averages of roughly 30–31 °C that can drop several degrees on overcast, wet days. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming potential given southeasterly flow and high humidity, creating genuine uncertainty between 28 °C and 30 °C outcomes that traders have priced closely. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and refined model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key data releases that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$24,634End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts indicate June 10 will feature moderate rain or showers under a humid subtropical regime, with cloud cover and precipitation likely limiting peak heating and keeping the daily maximum near the 28–30 °C range. This aligns with Hong Kong Observatory expectations of above-normal seasonal temperatures offset by normal-to-below-normal rainfall, plus climatological June averages of roughly 30–31 °C that can drop several degrees on overcast, wet days. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming potential given southeasterly flow and high humidity, creating genuine uncertainty between 28 °C and 30 °C outcomes that traders have priced closely. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and refined model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key data releases that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,634End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts indicate June 10 will feature moderate rain or showers under a humid subtropical regime, with cloud cover and precipitation likely limiting peak heating and keeping the daily maximum near the 28–30 °C range. This aligns with Hong Kong Observatory expectations of above-normal seasonal temperatures offset by normal-to-below-normal rainfall, plus climatological June averages of roughly 30–31 °C that can drop several degrees on overcast, wet days. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming potential given southeasterly flow and high humidity, creating genuine uncertainty between 28 °C and 30 °C outcomes that traders have priced closely. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and refined model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key data releases that could shift the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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