Latest PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11 project a high near 33°C under southwest monsoon influence, with 30–40% rain chances and typical June humidity. This positions 34°C as the leading implied outcome at 41.5%, reflecting ensemble model spreads and slight urban heat island effects that can push readings above regional averages. Historical June highs average 32°C, but recent wetter patterns from lingering La Niña influences have introduced variability in afternoon peaks. Traders appear to weigh the risk of modest intensification or clearer intervals that could elevate maxima toward 35°C, which holds 17.5% odds. Updated PAGASA briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts likely to refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on June 11?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 11?
34°C 41%
33°C 26%
35°C 18%
36°C 5.9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
26%
34°C
41%
35°C
18%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 41%
33°C 26%
35°C 18%
36°C 5.9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
28°C or below
$339 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,905 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,452 Vol.
3%
33°C
$444 Vol.
26%
34°C
$592 Vol.
41%
35°C
$465 Vol.
18%
36°C
$1,146 Vol.
6%
37°C
$490 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$266 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11 project a high near 33°C under southwest monsoon influence, with 30–40% rain chances and typical June humidity. This positions 34°C as the leading implied outcome at 41.5%, reflecting ensemble model spreads and slight urban heat island effects that can push readings above regional averages. Historical June highs average 32°C, but recent wetter patterns from lingering La Niña influences have introduced variability in afternoon peaks. Traders appear to weigh the risk of modest intensification or clearer intervals that could elevate maxima toward 35°C, which holds 17.5% odds. Updated PAGASA briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts likely to refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$7,745End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11 project a high near 33°C under southwest monsoon influence, with 30–40% rain chances and typical June humidity. This positions 34°C as the leading implied outcome at 41.5%, reflecting ensemble model spreads and slight urban heat island effects that can push readings above regional averages. Historical June highs average 32°C, but recent wetter patterns from lingering La Niña influences have introduced variability in afternoon peaks. Traders appear to weigh the risk of modest intensification or clearer intervals that could elevate maxima toward 35°C, which holds 17.5% odds. Updated PAGASA briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts likely to refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,745End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11 project a high near 33°C under southwest monsoon influence, with 30–40% rain chances and typical June humidity. This positions 34°C as the leading implied outcome at 41.5%, reflecting ensemble model spreads and slight urban heat island effects that can push readings above regional averages. Historical June highs average 32°C, but recent wetter patterns from lingering La Niña influences have introduced variability in afternoon peaks. Traders appear to weigh the risk of modest intensification or clearer intervals that could elevate maxima toward 35°C, which holds 17.5% odds. Updated PAGASA briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts likely to refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions