Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate Lucknow maximum temperatures on June 12 will likely fall in the 33–35°C range, driven by increasing low-level moisture and patchy cloud cover ahead of broader monsoon advance. This follows several days of 40–42°C readings under dry westerly flow, with ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from higher humidity and isolated thunderstorm activity that limits peak insolation. Historical mid-June baselines near 37–39°C provide context, yet current steering patterns favor suppressed extremes compared with peak pre-monsoon heatwave conditions. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds, directly influencing the closely matched market probabilities around 33–35°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 12?
34°C 32%
33°C 25%
35°C 17%
36°C 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
25%
34°C
32%
35°C
17%
36°C
11%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 32%
33°C 25%
35°C 17%
36°C 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
25%
34°C
32%
35°C
17%
36°C
11%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate Lucknow maximum temperatures on June 12 will likely fall in the 33–35°C range, driven by increasing low-level moisture and patchy cloud cover ahead of broader monsoon advance. This follows several days of 40–42°C readings under dry westerly flow, with ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from higher humidity and isolated thunderstorm activity that limits peak insolation. Historical mid-June baselines near 37–39°C provide context, yet current steering patterns favor suppressed extremes compared with peak pre-monsoon heatwave conditions. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds, directly influencing the closely matched market probabilities around 33–35°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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