Current forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C in Wellington on June 10 under fine conditions with southerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading 59% implied probability for that outcome. June climatology shows average highs of 13–14°C in the capital, and the NIWA seasonal outlook for April–June 2026 assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures across the region. Southerly flow typically limits warming by advecting cooler maritime air, while clear skies support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. Model consensus remains tight with no major shifts anticipated before resolution, though minor variations in wind strength or timing could nudge the observed high between 13°C and 15°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on June 10?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 10?
14°C 59%
15°C 25%
13°C 14%
16°C 5.5%
NEW
$14,459 Vol.
NEW
$14,459 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
14%
14°C
59%
15°C
25%
16°C
5%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 59%
15°C 25%
13°C 14%
16°C 5.5%
NEW
$14,459 Vol.
NEW
$14,459 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
9°C or below
$420 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$578 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$569 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$897 Vol.
1%
13°C
$2,373 Vol.
14%
14°C
$1,919 Vol.
59%
15°C
$1,678 Vol.
25%
16°C
$3,824 Vol.
5%
17°C
$918 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$638 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$681 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C in Wellington on June 10 under fine conditions with southerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading 59% implied probability for that outcome. June climatology shows average highs of 13–14°C in the capital, and the NIWA seasonal outlook for April–June 2026 assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures across the region. Southerly flow typically limits warming by advecting cooler maritime air, while clear skies support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. Model consensus remains tight with no major shifts anticipated before resolution, though minor variations in wind strength or timing could nudge the observed high between 13°C and 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$14,459End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C in Wellington on June 10 under fine conditions with southerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading 59% implied probability for that outcome. June climatology shows average highs of 13–14°C in the capital, and the NIWA seasonal outlook for April–June 2026 assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures across the region. Southerly flow typically limits warming by advecting cooler maritime air, while clear skies support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. Model consensus remains tight with no major shifts anticipated before resolution, though minor variations in wind strength or timing could nudge the observed high between 13°C and 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,459End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C in Wellington on June 10 under fine conditions with southerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading 59% implied probability for that outcome. June climatology shows average highs of 13–14°C in the capital, and the NIWA seasonal outlook for April–June 2026 assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures across the region. Southerly flow typically limits warming by advecting cooler maritime air, while clear skies support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. Model consensus remains tight with no major shifts anticipated before resolution, though minor variations in wind strength or timing could nudge the observed high between 13°C and 15°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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