Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Beijing's June 10 daytime maximum likely peaking at 26–27 °C under partly cloudy conditions with limited afternoon convection. Regional pressure patterns and modest southerly flow are expected to moderate heating compared with clearer-sky scenarios that could push readings to 28 °C or higher, while increased cloud cover or brief showers would cap the high near 25 °C. Model spread remains narrow given the short lead time, with ensemble guidance reflecting typical early-June variability driven by diurnal temperature ranges of 8–10 °C and Beijing's urban heat-island contribution. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and coverage of any convective activity before peak afternoon heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on June 10?
27°C 33%
26°C 29%
25°C 15%
28°C 14%
$12,986 Vol.
$12,986 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
15%
26°C
29%
27°C
33%
28°C
14%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 33%
26°C 29%
25°C 15%
28°C 14%
$12,986 Vol.
$12,986 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
15%
26°C
29%
27°C
33%
28°C
14%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Beijing's June 10 daytime maximum likely peaking at 26–27 °C under partly cloudy conditions with limited afternoon convection. Regional pressure patterns and modest southerly flow are expected to moderate heating compared with clearer-sky scenarios that could push readings to 28 °C or higher, while increased cloud cover or brief showers would cap the high near 25 °C. Model spread remains narrow given the short lead time, with ensemble guidance reflecting typical early-June variability driven by diurnal temperature ranges of 8–10 °C and Beijing's urban heat-island contribution. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and coverage of any convective activity before peak afternoon heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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