Recent numerical weather prediction models from European and global ensembles indicate a likely maximum temperature of 26–28°C in Milan on June 12, with 27°C holding the strongest consensus amid light northeasterly flow and mostly sunny conditions under a ridge of high pressure. This positioning aligns with typical early-June Po Valley climatology, where daytime heating under clear skies and modest subsidence produces highs near the seasonal average of 26–27°C, though small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these central outcomes while leaving limited room for outliers below 25°C or above 29°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on June 12?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 12?
27°C 40%
26°C 32%
28°C 20%
25°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
32%
27°C
40%
28°C
20%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
26°C 32%
28°C 20%
25°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
22°C or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$35 Vol.
1%
25°C
$61 Vol.
6%
26°C
$233 Vol.
32%
27°C
$127 Vol.
40%
28°C
$74 Vol.
20%
29°C
$32 Vol.
6%
30°C
$35 Vol.
1%
31°C
$178 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from European and global ensembles indicate a likely maximum temperature of 26–28°C in Milan on June 12, with 27°C holding the strongest consensus amid light northeasterly flow and mostly sunny conditions under a ridge of high pressure. This positioning aligns with typical early-June Po Valley climatology, where daytime heating under clear skies and modest subsidence produces highs near the seasonal average of 26–27°C, though small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these central outcomes while leaving limited room for outliers below 25°C or above 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$861End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from European and global ensembles indicate a likely maximum temperature of 26–28°C in Milan on June 12, with 27°C holding the strongest consensus amid light northeasterly flow and mostly sunny conditions under a ridge of high pressure. This positioning aligns with typical early-June Po Valley climatology, where daytime heating under clear skies and modest subsidence produces highs near the seasonal average of 26–27°C, though small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these central outcomes while leaving limited room for outliers below 25°C or above 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$861End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from European and global ensembles indicate a likely maximum temperature of 26–28°C in Milan on June 12, with 27°C holding the strongest consensus amid light northeasterly flow and mostly sunny conditions under a ridge of high pressure. This positioning aligns with typical early-June Po Valley climatology, where daytime heating under clear skies and modest subsidence produces highs near the seasonal average of 26–27°C, though small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these central outcomes while leaving limited room for outliers below 25°C or above 29°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions