Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and European ensemble models places Paris overnight lows for June 12 near 13–15 °C under building high pressure that favors clearer skies and moderate radiational cooling after a period of variable cloud and light winds. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C because small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact minimum timing can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C, while historical June averages of 12–14 °C provide climatological context. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model solutions rather than any single dominant driver.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on June 12?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 12?
16°C 28%
15°C 27%
14°C 21%
17°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
5%
14°C
21%
15°C
27%
16°C
28%
17°C
18%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 28%
15°C 27%
14°C 21%
17°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
10°C or below
$46 Vol.
1%
11°C
$349 Vol.
2%
12°C
$9 Vol.
4%
13°C
$0 Vol.
5%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$16 Vol.
18%
18°C
$29 Vol.
2%
19°C
$349 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and European ensemble models places Paris overnight lows for June 12 near 13–15 °C under building high pressure that favors clearer skies and moderate radiational cooling after a period of variable cloud and light winds. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C because small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact minimum timing can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C, while historical June averages of 12–14 °C provide climatological context. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model solutions rather than any single dominant driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$799End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and European ensemble models places Paris overnight lows for June 12 near 13–15 °C under building high pressure that favors clearer skies and moderate radiational cooling after a period of variable cloud and light winds. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C because small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact minimum timing can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C, while historical June averages of 12–14 °C provide climatological context. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model solutions rather than any single dominant driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$799End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and European ensemble models places Paris overnight lows for June 12 near 13–15 °C under building high pressure that favors clearer skies and moderate radiational cooling after a period of variable cloud and light winds. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C because small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact minimum timing can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C, while historical June averages of 12–14 °C provide climatological context. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model solutions rather than any single dominant driver.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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