Official Philippine weather agency forecasts establish a 33°C daily maximum for Manila on June 10 under typical early southwest monsoon conditions, with light winds, high humidity, and only a 10% rain chance limiting afternoon cooling or heat buildup. This aligns with June climatology showing average highs near 32°C and recent model runs from multiple sources converging on the same peak. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects the narrow uncertainty band around this guidance. A shift to stronger convective activity or an unexpected dry spell could push readings to 34°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make substantial deviation unlikely before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on June 10?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 10?
33°C 99.0%
34°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C or higher <1%
$23,444 Vol.
$23,444 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.0%
34°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C or higher <1%
$23,444 Vol.
$23,444 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
27°C or below
$590 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$849 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,066 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$850 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,457 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,577 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,945 Vol.
99%
34°C
$2,557 Vol.
1%
35°C
$3,371 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,766 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$740 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Philippine weather agency forecasts establish a 33°C daily maximum for Manila on June 10 under typical early southwest monsoon conditions, with light winds, high humidity, and only a 10% rain chance limiting afternoon cooling or heat buildup. This aligns with June climatology showing average highs near 32°C and recent model runs from multiple sources converging on the same peak. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects the narrow uncertainty band around this guidance. A shift to stronger convective activity or an unexpected dry spell could push readings to 34°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make substantial deviation unlikely before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$23,444End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Philippine weather agency forecasts establish a 33°C daily maximum for Manila on June 10 under typical early southwest monsoon conditions, with light winds, high humidity, and only a 10% rain chance limiting afternoon cooling or heat buildup. This aligns with June climatology showing average highs near 32°C and recent model runs from multiple sources converging on the same peak. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects the narrow uncertainty band around this guidance. A shift to stronger convective activity or an unexpected dry spell could push readings to 34°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make substantial deviation unlikely before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,444End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Philippine weather agency forecasts establish a 33°C daily maximum for Manila on June 10 under typical early southwest monsoon conditions, with light winds, high humidity, and only a 10% rain chance limiting afternoon cooling or heat buildup. This aligns with June climatology showing average highs near 32°C and recent model runs from multiple sources converging on the same peak. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects the narrow uncertainty band around this guidance. A shift to stronger convective activity or an unexpected dry spell could push readings to 34°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make substantial deviation unlikely before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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