Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a likely daily high near 28°C in Shanghai on June 10, aligning with early June climatology during the onset of the East Asian Meiyu rainy season. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and moderate southerly flow are expected to cap daytime warming, keeping temperatures in the 27–29°C range most probable according to trader consensus. This positioning reflects typical conditions before stronger subtropical high influence arrives later in the month, with historical data showing early-June maxima averaging 27–28°C. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and overnight model runs will provide the final inputs ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 10?
28°C 38%
27°C 28%
29°C 17%
26°C 8%
$11,333 Vol.
$11,333 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
28%
28°C
38%
29°C
17%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 38%
27°C 28%
29°C 17%
26°C 8%
$11,333 Vol.
$11,333 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
28%
28°C
38%
29°C
17%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a likely daily high near 28°C in Shanghai on June 10, aligning with early June climatology during the onset of the East Asian Meiyu rainy season. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and moderate southerly flow are expected to cap daytime warming, keeping temperatures in the 27–29°C range most probable according to trader consensus. This positioning reflects typical conditions before stronger subtropical high influence arrives later in the month, with historical data showing early-June maxima averaging 27–28°C. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and overnight model runs will provide the final inputs ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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