Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts place Warsaw’s June 12 maximum near 19–20 °C, with model spreads of roughly ±2 °C reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and timing of any showers. Recent runs show a weak frontal boundary and variable mid-level moisture that can suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2 °C depending on exact convective initiation. Historical June maxima in Warsaw average 22 °C, but the current pattern favors slightly cooler conditions under increasing westerly flow. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 19 °C and 20 °C while discounting both sub-18 °C and 22 °C-plus outcomes, consistent with the narrow forecast envelope expected to narrow further with the next model cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 12?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 12?
20°C 39%
19°C 34%
21°C 17%
18°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
6%
19°C
34%
20°C
39%
21°C
17%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 39%
19°C 34%
21°C 17%
18°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
14°C or below
$35 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$193 Vol.
1%
17°C
$110 Vol.
5%
18°C
$589 Vol.
6%
19°C
$32 Vol.
34%
20°C
$110 Vol.
39%
21°C
$309 Vol.
17%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$30 Vol.
3%
24°C or higher
$59 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts place Warsaw’s June 12 maximum near 19–20 °C, with model spreads of roughly ±2 °C reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and timing of any showers. Recent runs show a weak frontal boundary and variable mid-level moisture that can suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2 °C depending on exact convective initiation. Historical June maxima in Warsaw average 22 °C, but the current pattern favors slightly cooler conditions under increasing westerly flow. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 19 °C and 20 °C while discounting both sub-18 °C and 22 °C-plus outcomes, consistent with the narrow forecast envelope expected to narrow further with the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 1:13 AM ET
Volumen
$1,509Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts place Warsaw’s June 12 maximum near 19–20 °C, with model spreads of roughly ±2 °C reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and timing of any showers. Recent runs show a weak frontal boundary and variable mid-level moisture that can suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2 °C depending on exact convective initiation. Historical June maxima in Warsaw average 22 °C, but the current pattern favors slightly cooler conditions under increasing westerly flow. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 19 °C and 20 °C while discounting both sub-18 °C and 22 °C-plus outcomes, consistent with the narrow forecast envelope expected to narrow further with the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,509Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts place Warsaw’s June 12 maximum near 19–20 °C, with model spreads of roughly ±2 °C reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and timing of any showers. Recent runs show a weak frontal boundary and variable mid-level moisture that can suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2 °C depending on exact convective initiation. Historical June maxima in Warsaw average 22 °C, but the current pattern favors slightly cooler conditions under increasing westerly flow. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 19 °C and 20 °C while discounting both sub-18 °C and 22 °C-plus outcomes, consistent with the narrow forecast envelope expected to narrow further with the next model cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes