Recent forecast guidance from agencies including Météo-France and the BBC indicates a maximum temperature of 24°C in Paris on June 12 under light cloud cover and gentle westerly breezes, aligning with the market’s leading 35% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble models show limited spread, with 23–25°C ranges favored due to stable high pressure and seasonal norms near 21–24°C averages. Minor uncertainties stem from potential afternoon convective development or slight wind shifts that could nudge the daily peak. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on June 12?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 12?
24°C 37%
25°C 24%
23°C 18%
26°C or higher 11%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
18%
24°C
37%
25°C
24%
26°C or higher
11%
24°C 37%
25°C 24%
23°C 18%
26°C or higher 11%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
16°C or below
$171 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$409 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,118 Vol.
1%
20°C
$241 Vol.
1%
21°C
$450 Vol.
1%
22°C
$489 Vol.
2%
23°C
$212 Vol.
18%
24°C
$60 Vol.
37%
25°C
$41 Vol.
24%
26°C or higher
$132 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including Météo-France and the BBC indicates a maximum temperature of 24°C in Paris on June 12 under light cloud cover and gentle westerly breezes, aligning with the market’s leading 35% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble models show limited spread, with 23–25°C ranges favored due to stable high pressure and seasonal norms near 21–24°C averages. Minor uncertainties stem from potential afternoon convective development or slight wind shifts that could nudge the daily peak. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$3,353End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including Météo-France and the BBC indicates a maximum temperature of 24°C in Paris on June 12 under light cloud cover and gentle westerly breezes, aligning with the market’s leading 35% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble models show limited spread, with 23–25°C ranges favored due to stable high pressure and seasonal norms near 21–24°C averages. Minor uncertainties stem from potential afternoon convective development or slight wind shifts that could nudge the daily peak. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,353End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from agencies including Météo-France and the BBC indicates a maximum temperature of 24°C in Paris on June 12 under light cloud cover and gentle westerly breezes, aligning with the market’s leading 35% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble models show limited spread, with 23–25°C ranges favored due to stable high pressure and seasonal norms near 21–24°C averages. Minor uncertainties stem from potential afternoon convective development or slight wind shifts that could nudge the daily peak. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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