Recent short-range forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and international ensembles indicate a nighttime low near 17°C for Shanghai on June 10, driven by persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity associated with the onset of the East Asian monsoon and plum rain season. These conditions limit radiative cooling while moderating daytime highs around 31°C, producing a tighter diurnal range than typical early-June averages of 20–22°C lows. Trader consensus around 17–18°C reflects alignment with these outputs, with limited model spread and no immediate tropical or frontal systems expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 10?
17°C 36%
18°C 20%
19°C 15%
16°C 7.4%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
7%
17°C
36%
18°C
20%
19°C
15%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 36%
18°C 20%
19°C 15%
16°C 7.4%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
7%
17°C
36%
18°C
20%
19°C
15%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and international ensembles indicate a nighttime low near 17°C for Shanghai on June 10, driven by persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity associated with the onset of the East Asian monsoon and plum rain season. These conditions limit radiative cooling while moderating daytime highs around 31°C, producing a tighter diurnal range than typical early-June averages of 20–22°C lows. Trader consensus around 17–18°C reflects alignment with these outputs, with limited model spread and no immediate tropical or frontal systems expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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