Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on June 10 project a daytime high near 30°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the early East Asian monsoon, moderating peak heating compared to clear conditions. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, reflecting model consensus on modest daytime warming amid 50–70% rain chances that limit solar insolation. Historical June averages of 31°C provide context, yet variable steering patterns and precipitation timing introduce the observed uncertainty between adjacent outcomes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight could shift probabilities if rainfall timing or intensity deviates from current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 10?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 10?
30°C 29%
29°C 23%
31°C 19%
28°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Jun 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
15%
29°C
23%
30°C
29%
31°C
19%
32°C
11%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 29%
29°C 23%
31°C 19%
28°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Jun 10, 2026
24°C or below
$383 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$718 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,074 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$679 Vol.
5%
28°C
$481 Vol.
15%
29°C
$539 Vol.
23%
30°C
$577 Vol.
29%
31°C
$568 Vol.
19%
32°C
$563 Vol.
11%
33°C
$1,236 Vol.
5%
34°C or higher
$1,617 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on June 10 project a daytime high near 30°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the early East Asian monsoon, moderating peak heating compared to clear conditions. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, reflecting model consensus on modest daytime warming amid 50–70% rain chances that limit solar insolation. Historical June averages of 31°C provide context, yet variable steering patterns and precipitation timing introduce the observed uncertainty between adjacent outcomes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight could shift probabilities if rainfall timing or intensity deviates from current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$8,402End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on June 10 project a daytime high near 30°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the early East Asian monsoon, moderating peak heating compared to clear conditions. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, reflecting model consensus on modest daytime warming amid 50–70% rain chances that limit solar insolation. Historical June averages of 31°C provide context, yet variable steering patterns and precipitation timing introduce the observed uncertainty between adjacent outcomes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight could shift probabilities if rainfall timing or intensity deviates from current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,402End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on June 10 project a daytime high near 30°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the early East Asian monsoon, moderating peak heating compared to clear conditions. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, reflecting model consensus on modest daytime warming amid 50–70% rain chances that limit solar insolation. Historical June averages of 31°C provide context, yet variable steering patterns and precipitation timing introduce the observed uncertainty between adjacent outcomes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight could shift probabilities if rainfall timing or intensity deviates from current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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