National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 64°F at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) today, with partly sunny conditions amid moderate west winds of 5-10 mph, anchoring trader consensus on the 62-63°F outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Persistent marine layer—low stratus clouds fueled by cool Pacific sea surface temperatures around 55°F from coastal upwelling—has capped recent highs at 62°F over the past 48 hours, delaying fog burn-off until midday. Model consensus shows limited warm air advection due to a weak offshore ridge, though greater clearing could nudge toward 64-65°F (20.5%). Lower odds for 60-61°F (23.5%) reflect climatological May norms averaging 64°F, with real-time KSFO observations driving final resolution by midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 5?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 5?
62-63°F 67%
64-65°F 16%
60-61°F 10%
66°F or higher 3.5%
$14,403 Vol.
$14,403 Vol.
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
67%
64-65°F
16%
66°F or higher
4%
62-63°F 67%
64-65°F 16%
60-61°F 10%
66°F or higher 3.5%
$14,403 Vol.
$14,403 Vol.
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
67%
64-65°F
16%
66°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 64°F at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) today, with partly sunny conditions amid moderate west winds of 5-10 mph, anchoring trader consensus on the 62-63°F outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Persistent marine layer—low stratus clouds fueled by cool Pacific sea surface temperatures around 55°F from coastal upwelling—has capped recent highs at 62°F over the past 48 hours, delaying fog burn-off until midday. Model consensus shows limited warm air advection due to a weak offshore ridge, though greater clearing could nudge toward 64-65°F (20.5%). Lower odds for 60-61°F (23.5%) reflect climatological May norms averaging 64°F, with real-time KSFO observations driving final resolution by midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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