India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for Lucknow indicate maximum temperatures of 31-32°C on May 6 amid scattered light-to-moderate rain and thunderstorms very likely at scattered places, driving the 78.5% market-implied probability for 34°C or below. Recent heavy pre-monsoon showers from a western disturbance cooled the city sharply—May 4's high fell to 29°C (10.4°C below normal)—with cloud cover reducing solar insolation and surface heating. While May climatology typically sees highs near 40°C, ongoing unsettled conditions and probabilistic rainfall outlooks suppress extremes, though a gradual 2-4°C rise is possible post-May 5. Traders await IMD's daily bulletin on May 5 for refined model consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 6?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 6?
34°C or below 95.2%
35°C 3.6%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
NUEVO
$14,156 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,156 Vol.
6 may 2026
34°C or below
95%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
34°C or below 95.2%
35°C 3.6%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
NUEVO
$14,156 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,156 Vol.
6 may 2026
34°C or below
$2,214 Vol.
95%
35°C
$1,809 Vol.
4%
36°C
$2,652 Vol.
1%
37°C
$1,511 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,461 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$1,106 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$545 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$469 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$562 Vol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$704 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for Lucknow indicate maximum temperatures of 31-32°C on May 6 amid scattered light-to-moderate rain and thunderstorms very likely at scattered places, driving the 78.5% market-implied probability for 34°C or below. Recent heavy pre-monsoon showers from a western disturbance cooled the city sharply—May 4's high fell to 29°C (10.4°C below normal)—with cloud cover reducing solar insolation and surface heating. While May climatology typically sees highs near 40°C, ongoing unsettled conditions and probabilistic rainfall outlooks suppress extremes, though a gradual 2-4°C rise is possible post-May 5. Traders await IMD's daily bulletin on May 5 for refined model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
Volumen
$14,156Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:43 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for Lucknow indicate maximum temperatures of 31-32°C on May 6 amid scattered light-to-moderate rain and thunderstorms very likely at scattered places, driving the 78.5% market-implied probability for 34°C or below. Recent heavy pre-monsoon showers from a western disturbance cooled the city sharply—May 4's high fell to 29°C (10.4°C below normal)—with cloud cover reducing solar insolation and surface heating. While May climatology typically sees highs near 40°C, ongoing unsettled conditions and probabilistic rainfall outlooks suppress extremes, though a gradual 2-4°C rise is possible post-May 5. Traders await IMD's daily bulletin on May 5 for refined model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,156Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:43 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for Lucknow indicate maximum temperatures of 31-32°C on May 6 amid scattered light-to-moderate rain and thunderstorms very likely at scattered places, driving the 78.5% market-implied probability for 34°C or below. Recent heavy pre-monsoon showers from a western disturbance cooled the city sharply—May 4's high fell to 29°C (10.4°C below normal)—with cloud cover reducing solar insolation and surface heating. While May climatology typically sees highs near 40°C, ongoing unsettled conditions and probabilistic rainfall outlooks suppress extremes, though a gradual 2-4°C rise is possible post-May 5. Traders await IMD's daily bulletin on May 5 for refined model consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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