Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 23°C high temperature in Guangzhou today at 78.5% implied probability, aligned with the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting daily peaks of 74–76°F (23–24°C) under persistent cloud cover and morning showers. Overcast conditions from a lingering frontal boundary across southern China are limiting solar insolation, preventing the typical midday heating seen in May's climatological average of 29°C. Recent torrential rains in late April further cooled the region and stabilized cooler air masses. While model agreement is strong, afternoon clearing could nudge the high toward 24°C; real-time data from China Meteorological Administration stations will refine this through evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 5?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 5?
23°C 97.8%
24°C 2.0%
26°C or higher 1.0%
25°C <1%
$32,492 Vol.
$32,492 Vol.
5 may 2026
23°C
98%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
23°C 97.8%
24°C 2.0%
26°C or higher 1.0%
25°C <1%
$32,492 Vol.
$32,492 Vol.
5 may 2026
23°C
$7,648 Vol.
98%
24°C
$2,994 Vol.
2%
25°C
$2,867 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$3,438 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 23°C high temperature in Guangzhou today at 78.5% implied probability, aligned with the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting daily peaks of 74–76°F (23–24°C) under persistent cloud cover and morning showers. Overcast conditions from a lingering frontal boundary across southern China are limiting solar insolation, preventing the typical midday heating seen in May's climatological average of 29°C. Recent torrential rains in late April further cooled the region and stabilized cooler air masses. While model agreement is strong, afternoon clearing could nudge the high toward 24°C; real-time data from China Meteorological Administration stations will refine this through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volumen
$32,492Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 23°C high temperature in Guangzhou today at 78.5% implied probability, aligned with the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting daily peaks of 74–76°F (23–24°C) under persistent cloud cover and morning showers. Overcast conditions from a lingering frontal boundary across southern China are limiting solar insolation, preventing the typical midday heating seen in May's climatological average of 29°C. Recent torrential rains in late April further cooled the region and stabilized cooler air masses. While model agreement is strong, afternoon clearing could nudge the high toward 24°C; real-time data from China Meteorological Administration stations will refine this through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$32,492Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 23°C high temperature in Guangzhou today at 78.5% implied probability, aligned with the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting daily peaks of 74–76°F (23–24°C) under persistent cloud cover and morning showers. Overcast conditions from a lingering frontal boundary across southern China are limiting solar insolation, preventing the typical midday heating seen in May's climatological average of 29°C. Recent torrential rains in late April further cooled the region and stabilized cooler air masses. While model agreement is strong, afternoon clearing could nudge the high toward 24°C; real-time data from China Meteorological Administration stations will refine this through evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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