Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 72°F or higher in Dallas on May 4 (99.5% implied probability), reflecting strong alignment with National Weather Service (NWS) short-range forecasts and ensemble model guidance projecting sunny skies and highs in the upper 70s to low 80s under a building high-pressure ridge over Texas. Early May climatology supports this, with average highs near 85°F and temperatures rarely dipping below 72°F historically, per NOAA records. Recent cooling from early-week clouds has dissipated, enabling above-normal warming. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as an unexpected late cold front or increased cloud cover—NWS updates through May 3-4 will refine guidance, with resolution based on official DFW Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on May 4?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 4?
72°F or higher 99.5%
53°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
NUEVO
$14,174 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,174 Vol.
4 may 2026
53°F or below
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
100%
72°F or higher 99.5%
53°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
NUEVO
$14,174 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,174 Vol.
4 may 2026
53°F or below
$576 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$854 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$859 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$859 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$703 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$1,159 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,301 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$759 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$678 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$1,054 Vol.
<1%
72°F or higher
$5,372 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 72°F or higher in Dallas on May 4 (99.5% implied probability), reflecting strong alignment with National Weather Service (NWS) short-range forecasts and ensemble model guidance projecting sunny skies and highs in the upper 70s to low 80s under a building high-pressure ridge over Texas. Early May climatology supports this, with average highs near 85°F and temperatures rarely dipping below 72°F historically, per NOAA records. Recent cooling from early-week clouds has dissipated, enabling above-normal warming. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as an unexpected late cold front or increased cloud cover—NWS updates through May 3-4 will refine guidance, with resolution based on official DFW Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volumen
$14,174Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 72°F or higher in Dallas on May 4 (99.5% implied probability), reflecting strong alignment with National Weather Service (NWS) short-range forecasts and ensemble model guidance projecting sunny skies and highs in the upper 70s to low 80s under a building high-pressure ridge over Texas. Early May climatology supports this, with average highs near 85°F and temperatures rarely dipping below 72°F historically, per NOAA records. Recent cooling from early-week clouds has dissipated, enabling above-normal warming. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as an unexpected late cold front or increased cloud cover—NWS updates through May 3-4 will refine guidance, with resolution based on official DFW Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,174Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 72°F or higher in Dallas on May 4 (99.5% implied probability), reflecting strong alignment with National Weather Service (NWS) short-range forecasts and ensemble model guidance projecting sunny skies and highs in the upper 70s to low 80s under a building high-pressure ridge over Texas. Early May climatology supports this, with average highs near 85°F and temperatures rarely dipping below 72°F historically, per NOAA records. Recent cooling from early-week clouds has dissipated, enabling above-normal warming. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as an unexpected late cold front or increased cloud cover—NWS updates through May 3-4 will refine guidance, with resolution based on official DFW Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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