Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated early May 1, projects a maximum temperature around 26°C under mainly cloudy conditions with rain patches and moderate northeasterly winds from an ongoing northeast monsoon affecting the region. Midday observations at the Observatory reached 26°C by noon, while automatic stations like Chek Lap Kok and Kowloon City hit 27°C, driving trader consensus to 27°C (54% implied probability) as the slight edge over the forecast threshold. The 26°C outcome (34%) reflects alignment with official projections amid cloud cover suppressing solar heating. Following April's record mean of 25.6°C—over 2.5°C above normal—May's above-normal seasonal outlook supports mild warmth, but showers later today introduce uncertainty ahead of evening maximum readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 1?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 1?
27°C 56%
26°C 38%
28°C 4.3%
29°C or higher <1%
$147,703 Vol.
$147,703 Vol.
1 may 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
38%
27°C
56%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
1%
27°C 56%
26°C 38%
28°C 4.3%
29°C or higher <1%
$147,703 Vol.
$147,703 Vol.
1 may 2026
19°C or below
$3,163 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,069 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,320 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,740 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10,884 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$19,152 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$23,835 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$16,066 Vol.
38%
27°C
$18,932 Vol.
56%
28°C
$23,493 Vol.
4%
29°C or higher
$25,900 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated early May 1, projects a maximum temperature around 26°C under mainly cloudy conditions with rain patches and moderate northeasterly winds from an ongoing northeast monsoon affecting the region. Midday observations at the Observatory reached 26°C by noon, while automatic stations like Chek Lap Kok and Kowloon City hit 27°C, driving trader consensus to 27°C (54% implied probability) as the slight edge over the forecast threshold. The 26°C outcome (34%) reflects alignment with official projections amid cloud cover suppressing solar heating. Following April's record mean of 25.6°C—over 2.5°C above normal—May's above-normal seasonal outlook supports mild warmth, but showers later today introduce uncertainty ahead of evening maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$147,703Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated early May 1, projects a maximum temperature around 26°C under mainly cloudy conditions with rain patches and moderate northeasterly winds from an ongoing northeast monsoon affecting the region. Midday observations at the Observatory reached 26°C by noon, while automatic stations like Chek Lap Kok and Kowloon City hit 27°C, driving trader consensus to 27°C (54% implied probability) as the slight edge over the forecast threshold. The 26°C outcome (34%) reflects alignment with official projections amid cloud cover suppressing solar heating. Following April's record mean of 25.6°C—over 2.5°C above normal—May's above-normal seasonal outlook supports mild warmth, but showers later today introduce uncertainty ahead of evening maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$147,703Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated early May 1, projects a maximum temperature around 26°C under mainly cloudy conditions with rain patches and moderate northeasterly winds from an ongoing northeast monsoon affecting the region. Midday observations at the Observatory reached 26°C by noon, while automatic stations like Chek Lap Kok and Kowloon City hit 27°C, driving trader consensus to 27°C (54% implied probability) as the slight edge over the forecast threshold. The 26°C outcome (34%) reflects alignment with official projections amid cloud cover suppressing solar heating. Following April's record mean of 25.6°C—over 2.5°C above normal—May's above-normal seasonal outlook supports mild warmth, but showers later today introduce uncertainty ahead of evening maximum readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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