Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (35%) and 24°C (28%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting the latest guidance from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs in this narrow range amid mild early-May conditions. Recent observations through late April show stable temperatures around 20-22°C with light northerly winds and partial cloudiness, aligning with climatological averages of 22-25°C for early May, when Shanghai transitions from spring variability influenced by continental high-pressure systems. Differentiating factors include model spread over cloud cover and sea-breeze potential: drier runs favor 24°C via enhanced solar heating and urban heat island effects, while moister ensembles cap at 23°C. Updated CMA bulletins expected daily and final observations from Pudong or Xujiahui stations will resolve uncertainties by evening May 2.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 2?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 2?
24°C 33%
23°C 32%
25°C 14%
22°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
32%
24°C
28%
25°C
14%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 33%
23°C 32%
25°C 14%
22°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
18°C or below
$1,046 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$677 Vol.
1%
20°C
$670 Vol.
1%
21°C
$407 Vol.
5%
22°C
$694 Vol.
13%
23°C
$544 Vol.
32%
24°C
$548 Vol.
28%
25°C
$305 Vol.
14%
26°C
$90 Vol.
8%
27°C
$153 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$266 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (35%) and 24°C (28%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting the latest guidance from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs in this narrow range amid mild early-May conditions. Recent observations through late April show stable temperatures around 20-22°C with light northerly winds and partial cloudiness, aligning with climatological averages of 22-25°C for early May, when Shanghai transitions from spring variability influenced by continental high-pressure systems. Differentiating factors include model spread over cloud cover and sea-breeze potential: drier runs favor 24°C via enhanced solar heating and urban heat island effects, while moister ensembles cap at 23°C. Updated CMA bulletins expected daily and final observations from Pudong or Xujiahui stations will resolve uncertainties by evening May 2.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volumen
$5,400Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (35%) and 24°C (28%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting the latest guidance from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs in this narrow range amid mild early-May conditions. Recent observations through late April show stable temperatures around 20-22°C with light northerly winds and partial cloudiness, aligning with climatological averages of 22-25°C for early May, when Shanghai transitions from spring variability influenced by continental high-pressure systems. Differentiating factors include model spread over cloud cover and sea-breeze potential: drier runs favor 24°C via enhanced solar heating and urban heat island effects, while moister ensembles cap at 23°C. Updated CMA bulletins expected daily and final observations from Pudong or Xujiahui stations will resolve uncertainties by evening May 2.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,400Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (35%) and 24°C (28%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting the latest guidance from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs in this narrow range amid mild early-May conditions. Recent observations through late April show stable temperatures around 20-22°C with light northerly winds and partial cloudiness, aligning with climatological averages of 22-25°C for early May, when Shanghai transitions from spring variability influenced by continental high-pressure systems. Differentiating factors include model spread over cloud cover and sea-breeze potential: drier runs favor 24°C via enhanced solar heating and urban heat island effects, while moister ensembles cap at 23°C. Updated CMA bulletins expected daily and final observations from Pudong or Xujiahui stations will resolve uncertainties by evening May 2.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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