National Weather Service forecasts, updated overnight on May 1, project Denver's highest temperature on May 2 reaching 62°F under mostly sunny skies with light winds and just a 20% chance of afternoon showers, driving the market's 99.5% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This trader consensus aligns with ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF guidance, reflecting a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies for solar heating, and minimal cloud interference—conditions well above the climatological normal high of 66°F for early May. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective development intensifying showers or a subtle cold front shift introducing cooler mid-level air, though current satellite and upper-air observations show low likelihood; watch for the next NWS update this afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on May 2?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 2?
56°F or higher 99.4%
42-43°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
NUEVO
$73,339 Vol.
NUEVO
$73,339 Vol.
2 may 2026
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
99%
56°F or higher 99.4%
42-43°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
NUEVO
$73,339 Vol.
NUEVO
$73,339 Vol.
2 may 2026
37°F or below
$6,285 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$3,454 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$2,819 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$4,810 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$2,576 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$5,765 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$6,486 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$8,552 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$7,109 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$10,126 Vol.
<1%
56°F or higher
$15,359 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts, updated overnight on May 1, project Denver's highest temperature on May 2 reaching 62°F under mostly sunny skies with light winds and just a 20% chance of afternoon showers, driving the market's 99.5% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This trader consensus aligns with ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF guidance, reflecting a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies for solar heating, and minimal cloud interference—conditions well above the climatological normal high of 66°F for early May. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective development intensifying showers or a subtle cold front shift introducing cooler mid-level air, though current satellite and upper-air observations show low likelihood; watch for the next NWS update this afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volumen
$73,339Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts, updated overnight on May 1, project Denver's highest temperature on May 2 reaching 62°F under mostly sunny skies with light winds and just a 20% chance of afternoon showers, driving the market's 99.5% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This trader consensus aligns with ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF guidance, reflecting a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies for solar heating, and minimal cloud interference—conditions well above the climatological normal high of 66°F for early May. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective development intensifying showers or a subtle cold front shift introducing cooler mid-level air, though current satellite and upper-air observations show low likelihood; watch for the next NWS update this afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$73,339Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts, updated overnight on May 1, project Denver's highest temperature on May 2 reaching 62°F under mostly sunny skies with light winds and just a 20% chance of afternoon showers, driving the market's 99.5% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This trader consensus aligns with ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF guidance, reflecting a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies for solar heating, and minimal cloud interference—conditions well above the climatological normal high of 66°F for early May. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective development intensifying showers or a subtle cold front shift introducing cooler mid-level air, though current satellite and upper-air observations show low likelihood; watch for the next NWS update this afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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