National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high temperature of 62-65°F in Dallas on May 1, driving the market's 99% implied probability for 67°F or below, as a recent cold front has advected cooler air from the north following severe storms and heavy rain over the past 48 hours. Persistent cloud cover, northeast winds, and scattered showers will further suppress daytime heating, well below the typical May 1 average of around 80°F. Trader sentiment reflects this strong alignment across ECMWF, GFS, and HRRR models, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies or frontal stalling allowing southerly flow, though new observational data from morning soundings could refine this; expect updated guidance by midday.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on May 1?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 1?
67°F or below 99.3%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
NUEVO
$13,324 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,324 Vol.
1 may 2026
67°F or below
99%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
67°F or below 99.3%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
NUEVO
$13,324 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,324 Vol.
1 may 2026
67°F or below
$4,697 Vol.
99%
68-69°F
$2,344 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$1,730 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,066 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$784 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$175 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$236 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$182 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$222 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$182 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$1,981 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high temperature of 62-65°F in Dallas on May 1, driving the market's 99% implied probability for 67°F or below, as a recent cold front has advected cooler air from the north following severe storms and heavy rain over the past 48 hours. Persistent cloud cover, northeast winds, and scattered showers will further suppress daytime heating, well below the typical May 1 average of around 80°F. Trader sentiment reflects this strong alignment across ECMWF, GFS, and HRRR models, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies or frontal stalling allowing southerly flow, though new observational data from morning soundings could refine this; expect updated guidance by midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$13,324Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high temperature of 62-65°F in Dallas on May 1, driving the market's 99% implied probability for 67°F or below, as a recent cold front has advected cooler air from the north following severe storms and heavy rain over the past 48 hours. Persistent cloud cover, northeast winds, and scattered showers will further suppress daytime heating, well below the typical May 1 average of around 80°F. Trader sentiment reflects this strong alignment across ECMWF, GFS, and HRRR models, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies or frontal stalling allowing southerly flow, though new observational data from morning soundings could refine this; expect updated guidance by midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,324Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high temperature of 62-65°F in Dallas on May 1, driving the market's 99% implied probability for 67°F or below, as a recent cold front has advected cooler air from the north following severe storms and heavy rain over the past 48 hours. Persistent cloud cover, northeast winds, and scattered showers will further suppress daytime heating, well below the typical May 1 average of around 80°F. Trader sentiment reflects this strong alignment across ECMWF, GFS, and HRRR models, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies or frontal stalling allowing southerly flow, though new observational data from morning soundings could refine this; expect updated guidance by midday.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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