The latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecast pegs Busan's daytime high at 19°C on May 4, driving trader consensus toward 18°C at 40.5% implied probability amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from diverging model runs. This follows a rainy frontal passage on May 3 expected to cap highs at 16°C and suppress temperatures through post-precipitation cooling and lingering cloud cover early on May 4, with partial clearing in the afternoon aiding recovery. Low odds on 14–17°C outcomes (3.5% each) and below reflect clearing skies under building high pressure, aligning with early May climatological averages of 19–20°C highs. Traders await tomorrow's KMA update and GFS/ECMWF ensembles for potential refinements before resolution via official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on May 4?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 4?
21°C 24%
20°C 17%
22°C 17%
19°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
8%
19°C
16%
20°C
17%
21°C
24%
22°C
17%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
4%
21°C 24%
20°C 17%
22°C 17%
19°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
14°C or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$11 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$8 Vol.
1%
17°C
$3 Vol.
4%
18°C
$36 Vol.
8%
19°C
$3 Vol.
16%
20°C
$26 Vol.
17%
21°C
$1 Vol.
24%
22°C
$11 Vol.
17%
23°C
$42 Vol.
5%
24°C or higher
$7 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecast pegs Busan's daytime high at 19°C on May 4, driving trader consensus toward 18°C at 40.5% implied probability amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from diverging model runs. This follows a rainy frontal passage on May 3 expected to cap highs at 16°C and suppress temperatures through post-precipitation cooling and lingering cloud cover early on May 4, with partial clearing in the afternoon aiding recovery. Low odds on 14–17°C outcomes (3.5% each) and below reflect clearing skies under building high pressure, aligning with early May climatological averages of 19–20°C highs. Traders await tomorrow's KMA update and GFS/ECMWF ensembles for potential refinements before resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volumen
$141Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecast pegs Busan's daytime high at 19°C on May 4, driving trader consensus toward 18°C at 40.5% implied probability amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from diverging model runs. This follows a rainy frontal passage on May 3 expected to cap highs at 16°C and suppress temperatures through post-precipitation cooling and lingering cloud cover early on May 4, with partial clearing in the afternoon aiding recovery. Low odds on 14–17°C outcomes (3.5% each) and below reflect clearing skies under building high pressure, aligning with early May climatological averages of 19–20°C highs. Traders await tomorrow's KMA update and GFS/ECMWF ensembles for potential refinements before resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$141Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecast pegs Busan's daytime high at 19°C on May 4, driving trader consensus toward 18°C at 40.5% implied probability amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from diverging model runs. This follows a rainy frontal passage on May 3 expected to cap highs at 16°C and suppress temperatures through post-precipitation cooling and lingering cloud cover early on May 4, with partial clearing in the afternoon aiding recovery. Low odds on 14–17°C outcomes (3.5% each) and below reflect clearing skies under building high pressure, aligning with early May climatological averages of 19–20°C highs. Traders await tomorrow's KMA update and GFS/ECMWF ensembles for potential refinements before resolution via official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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