Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60.5% implied probability for Dallas reaching 74°F or higher on May 2, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast guidance projecting highs in the low to mid-70s amid scattered showers from a slow-moving frontal system. Recent Area Forecast Discussions highlight widespread rain chances through Friday night, with 1-3 inches expected, cloud cover suppressing peaks from seasonal early-May averages near 82°F per NOAA climatology—elevating 72-73°F to 29.5% while pricing cooler outcomes below 1% each. Model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) converge on 72-78°F ranges, though timing of heaviest precipitation south of Dallas introduces uncertainty; afternoon NWS updates and DFW observations will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on May 2?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 2?
74°F or higher 61%
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 7%
68-69°F <1%
NUEVO
$15,402 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,402 Vol.
2 may 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
32%
74°F or higher
61%
74°F or higher 61%
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 7%
68-69°F <1%
NUEVO
$15,402 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,402 Vol.
2 may 2026
55°F or below
$1,483 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,448 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,677 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,519 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$836 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$831 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,495 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,454 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$750 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$732 Vol.
32%
74°F or higher
$2,178 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60.5% implied probability for Dallas reaching 74°F or higher on May 2, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast guidance projecting highs in the low to mid-70s amid scattered showers from a slow-moving frontal system. Recent Area Forecast Discussions highlight widespread rain chances through Friday night, with 1-3 inches expected, cloud cover suppressing peaks from seasonal early-May averages near 82°F per NOAA climatology—elevating 72-73°F to 29.5% while pricing cooler outcomes below 1% each. Model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) converge on 72-78°F ranges, though timing of heaviest precipitation south of Dallas introduces uncertainty; afternoon NWS updates and DFW observations will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$15,402Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60.5% implied probability for Dallas reaching 74°F or higher on May 2, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast guidance projecting highs in the low to mid-70s amid scattered showers from a slow-moving frontal system. Recent Area Forecast Discussions highlight widespread rain chances through Friday night, with 1-3 inches expected, cloud cover suppressing peaks from seasonal early-May averages near 82°F per NOAA climatology—elevating 72-73°F to 29.5% while pricing cooler outcomes below 1% each. Model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) converge on 72-78°F ranges, though timing of heaviest precipitation south of Dallas introduces uncertainty; afternoon NWS updates and DFW observations will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,402Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60.5% implied probability for Dallas reaching 74°F or higher on May 2, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast guidance projecting highs in the low to mid-70s amid scattered showers from a slow-moving frontal system. Recent Area Forecast Discussions highlight widespread rain chances through Friday night, with 1-3 inches expected, cloud cover suppressing peaks from seasonal early-May averages near 82°F per NOAA climatology—elevating 72-73°F to 29.5% while pricing cooler outcomes below 1% each. Model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) converge on 72-78°F ranges, though timing of heaviest precipitation south of Dallas introduces uncertainty; afternoon NWS updates and DFW observations will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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