National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble forecast models project a high temperature in Dallas exceeding 80°F on May 3, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher, aligned with the agency's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures amid persistent drought conditions that favor clear skies and enhanced solar heating. Climatological norms for early May show average highs near 85°F, with historical data indicating rare dips below 74°F absent major frontal passages. Trader consensus reflects strong model agreement on high-pressure ridging dominating the Southern Plains. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward surge of cool, moist air from recent shower activity or model discrepancies in the 24-48 hour outlook, with updated NWS guidance expected daily through resolution at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on May 3?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 3?
74°F or higher 98.8%
68-69°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
NUEVO
$15,246 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,246 Vol.
3 may 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
99%
74°F or higher 98.8%
68-69°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
NUEVO
$15,246 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,246 Vol.
3 may 2026
55°F or below
$1,120 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$725 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$641 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$641 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$640 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$641 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$555 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$4,130 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$719 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$809 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$4,626 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble forecast models project a high temperature in Dallas exceeding 80°F on May 3, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher, aligned with the agency's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures amid persistent drought conditions that favor clear skies and enhanced solar heating. Climatological norms for early May show average highs near 85°F, with historical data indicating rare dips below 74°F absent major frontal passages. Trader consensus reflects strong model agreement on high-pressure ridging dominating the Southern Plains. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward surge of cool, moist air from recent shower activity or model discrepancies in the 24-48 hour outlook, with updated NWS guidance expected daily through resolution at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$15,246Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble forecast models project a high temperature in Dallas exceeding 80°F on May 3, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher, aligned with the agency's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures amid persistent drought conditions that favor clear skies and enhanced solar heating. Climatological norms for early May show average highs near 85°F, with historical data indicating rare dips below 74°F absent major frontal passages. Trader consensus reflects strong model agreement on high-pressure ridging dominating the Southern Plains. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward surge of cool, moist air from recent shower activity or model discrepancies in the 24-48 hour outlook, with updated NWS guidance expected daily through resolution at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,246Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble forecast models project a high temperature in Dallas exceeding 80°F on May 3, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher, aligned with the agency's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures amid persistent drought conditions that favor clear skies and enhanced solar heating. Climatological norms for early May show average highs near 85°F, with historical data indicating rare dips below 74°F absent major frontal passages. Trader consensus reflects strong model agreement on high-pressure ridging dominating the Southern Plains. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward surge of cool, moist air from recent shower activity or model discrepancies in the 24-48 hour outlook, with updated NWS guidance expected daily through resolution at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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