Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models clusters Seoul's May 2 high temperature near 18-19°C, reflecting trader sentiment amid a cooler mid-level air mass advecting over the Korean Peninsula, persistent cloud cover, and 20% chance of light showers per the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecast. This setup suppresses diurnal heating below early-May climatological norms of 20-22°C, despite KMA's operational projection of 22°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Closely matched probabilities for 18°C versus 19°C stem from model disagreements on boundary layer mixing, timing of any weak frontal passage, and solar insolation under overcast conditions. Updated KMA bulletins and new model runs on May 1 could sharpen resolution criteria based on official Seoul station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 2?
18°C 30%
19°C 30%
17°C 17%
20°C 12.4%
NUEVO
$17,692 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,692 Vol.
2 may 2026
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
17%
18°C
30%
19°C
30%
20°C
12%
21°C or higher
12%
18°C 30%
19°C 30%
17°C 17%
20°C 12.4%
NUEVO
$17,692 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,692 Vol.
2 may 2026
11°C o menos
$2,387 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$895 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$684 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,860 Vol.
1%
15°C
$3,139 Vol.
2%
16°C
$3,268 Vol.
6%
17°C
$931 Vol.
17%
18°C
$448 Vol.
30%
19°C
$684 Vol.
30%
20°C
$1,038 Vol.
12%
21°C or higher
$2,952 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models clusters Seoul's May 2 high temperature near 18-19°C, reflecting trader sentiment amid a cooler mid-level air mass advecting over the Korean Peninsula, persistent cloud cover, and 20% chance of light showers per the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecast. This setup suppresses diurnal heating below early-May climatological norms of 20-22°C, despite KMA's operational projection of 22°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Closely matched probabilities for 18°C versus 19°C stem from model disagreements on boundary layer mixing, timing of any weak frontal passage, and solar insolation under overcast conditions. Updated KMA bulletins and new model runs on May 1 could sharpen resolution criteria based on official Seoul station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$17,692Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models clusters Seoul's May 2 high temperature near 18-19°C, reflecting trader sentiment amid a cooler mid-level air mass advecting over the Korean Peninsula, persistent cloud cover, and 20% chance of light showers per the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecast. This setup suppresses diurnal heating below early-May climatological norms of 20-22°C, despite KMA's operational projection of 22°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Closely matched probabilities for 18°C versus 19°C stem from model disagreements on boundary layer mixing, timing of any weak frontal passage, and solar insolation under overcast conditions. Updated KMA bulletins and new model runs on May 1 could sharpen resolution criteria based on official Seoul station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$17,692Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models clusters Seoul's May 2 high temperature near 18-19°C, reflecting trader sentiment amid a cooler mid-level air mass advecting over the Korean Peninsula, persistent cloud cover, and 20% chance of light showers per the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecast. This setup suppresses diurnal heating below early-May climatological norms of 20-22°C, despite KMA's operational projection of 22°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Closely matched probabilities for 18°C versus 19°C stem from model disagreements on boundary layer mixing, timing of any weak frontal passage, and solar insolation under overcast conditions. Updated KMA bulletins and new model runs on May 1 could sharpen resolution criteria based on official Seoul station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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