Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a 30°C high for Taipei on May 2 amid partly clear skies and reduced cloud cover following yesterday's overcast conditions that capped temperatures near 21°C, anchoring trader consensus with market-implied odds tightly clustered at 31°C (30%) and 30°C (28.5%). Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows peaks of 29–31°C, but differentiates outcomes through uncertainties in afternoon convective clouds, moderating sea breezes from the Taiwan Strait, and urban heat island amplification in Taipei's subtropical basin—potentially curbing peaks at 30°C or allowing 31–32°C under sunnier persistence. Early May climatology averages 27–29°C highs, yet current high-pressure ridging supports mild warmth; watch CWA's afternoon update and hourly observations at Songshan Airport station for resolution-defining shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 2?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 2?
31°C 30%
30°C 28%
29°C 19%
32°C 18%
NUEVO
$13,778 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,778 Vol.
2 may 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
28%
31°C
30%
32°C
18%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 30%
30°C 28%
29°C 19%
32°C 18%
NUEVO
$13,778 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,778 Vol.
2 may 2026
24°C or below
$665 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,344 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,665 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,956 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,959 Vol.
4%
29°C
$273 Vol.
19%
30°C
$466 Vol.
28%
31°C
$722 Vol.
30%
32°C
$512 Vol.
18%
33°C
$1,483 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$1,941 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a 30°C high for Taipei on May 2 amid partly clear skies and reduced cloud cover following yesterday's overcast conditions that capped temperatures near 21°C, anchoring trader consensus with market-implied odds tightly clustered at 31°C (30%) and 30°C (28.5%). Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows peaks of 29–31°C, but differentiates outcomes through uncertainties in afternoon convective clouds, moderating sea breezes from the Taiwan Strait, and urban heat island amplification in Taipei's subtropical basin—potentially curbing peaks at 30°C or allowing 31–32°C under sunnier persistence. Early May climatology averages 27–29°C highs, yet current high-pressure ridging supports mild warmth; watch CWA's afternoon update and hourly observations at Songshan Airport station for resolution-defining shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$13,778Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a 30°C high for Taipei on May 2 amid partly clear skies and reduced cloud cover following yesterday's overcast conditions that capped temperatures near 21°C, anchoring trader consensus with market-implied odds tightly clustered at 31°C (30%) and 30°C (28.5%). Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows peaks of 29–31°C, but differentiates outcomes through uncertainties in afternoon convective clouds, moderating sea breezes from the Taiwan Strait, and urban heat island amplification in Taipei's subtropical basin—potentially curbing peaks at 30°C or allowing 31–32°C under sunnier persistence. Early May climatology averages 27–29°C highs, yet current high-pressure ridging supports mild warmth; watch CWA's afternoon update and hourly observations at Songshan Airport station for resolution-defining shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,778Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a 30°C high for Taipei on May 2 amid partly clear skies and reduced cloud cover following yesterday's overcast conditions that capped temperatures near 21°C, anchoring trader consensus with market-implied odds tightly clustered at 31°C (30%) and 30°C (28.5%). Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows peaks of 29–31°C, but differentiates outcomes through uncertainties in afternoon convective clouds, moderating sea breezes from the Taiwan Strait, and urban heat island amplification in Taipei's subtropical basin—potentially curbing peaks at 30°C or allowing 31–32°C under sunnier persistence. Early May climatology averages 27–29°C highs, yet current high-pressure ridging supports mild warmth; watch CWA's afternoon update and hourly observations at Songshan Airport station for resolution-defining shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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