Trader consensus favors a high of 33°C at 36.5% implied probability for Jakarta on May 2, reflecting ensemble forecasts from BMKG and international models projecting midday peaks in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid the early onset of the 2026 dry season. Late April's heatwave, with observed highs exceeding 34°C on April 27 at key stations like Soekarno-Hatta, has elevated expectations for sustained warmth, as reduced convective activity and cloud cover boost solar insolation. Historical May climatological normals average 32°C highs, moderated by sea breezes, but urban heat island effects in Jakarta amplify extremes. Probabilities taper for 34°C (26.5%) and 35°C (22.5%) due to model uncertainty in afternoon thunderstorms; watch BMKG's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 2?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 2?
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
35°C 21%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
11%
33°C
38%
34°C
27%
35°C
21%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
35°C 21%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
28°C or below
$1,010 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$433 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$654 Vol.
2%
31°C
$449 Vol.
6%
32°C
$429 Vol.
11%
33°C
$392 Vol.
38%
34°C
$458 Vol.
27%
35°C
$1,508 Vol.
21%
36°C
$164 Vol.
2%
37°C
$124 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$457 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high of 33°C at 36.5% implied probability for Jakarta on May 2, reflecting ensemble forecasts from BMKG and international models projecting midday peaks in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid the early onset of the 2026 dry season. Late April's heatwave, with observed highs exceeding 34°C on April 27 at key stations like Soekarno-Hatta, has elevated expectations for sustained warmth, as reduced convective activity and cloud cover boost solar insolation. Historical May climatological normals average 32°C highs, moderated by sea breezes, but urban heat island effects in Jakarta amplify extremes. Probabilities taper for 34°C (26.5%) and 35°C (22.5%) due to model uncertainty in afternoon thunderstorms; watch BMKG's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volumen
$6,078Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high of 33°C at 36.5% implied probability for Jakarta on May 2, reflecting ensemble forecasts from BMKG and international models projecting midday peaks in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid the early onset of the 2026 dry season. Late April's heatwave, with observed highs exceeding 34°C on April 27 at key stations like Soekarno-Hatta, has elevated expectations for sustained warmth, as reduced convective activity and cloud cover boost solar insolation. Historical May climatological normals average 32°C highs, moderated by sea breezes, but urban heat island effects in Jakarta amplify extremes. Probabilities taper for 34°C (26.5%) and 35°C (22.5%) due to model uncertainty in afternoon thunderstorms; watch BMKG's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,078Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a high of 33°C at 36.5% implied probability for Jakarta on May 2, reflecting ensemble forecasts from BMKG and international models projecting midday peaks in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid the early onset of the 2026 dry season. Late April's heatwave, with observed highs exceeding 34°C on April 27 at key stations like Soekarno-Hatta, has elevated expectations for sustained warmth, as reduced convective activity and cloud cover boost solar insolation. Historical May climatological normals average 32°C highs, moderated by sea breezes, but urban heat island effects in Jakarta amplify extremes. Probabilities taper for 34°C (26.5%) and 35°C (22.5%) due to model uncertainty in afternoon thunderstorms; watch BMKG's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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