Latest forecasts from Climatempo and AccuWeather indicate a high near 25–26°C for São Paulo on May 4, aligning with trader consensus favoring 26°C (30% implied probability), 25°C (23%), and 27°C (20%), following a cold front's arrival on May 3 that drops highs to around 21°C amid heavy rain. Partial clearing and urban heat island effects—elevating city peaks 2–3°C above rural averages—could push toward 27°C if showers delay, while persistent afternoon cloud cover and 25–70% precipitation odds cap at 25°C per model ensembles. This tight spread reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty in temperature maxima, with daily INMET and global model updates (GFS, ECMWF) likely to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 4?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 4?
26°C 30%
25°C 24%
27°C 20%
23°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
12%
24°C
12%
25°C
24%
26°C
30%
27°C
20%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
4%
26°C 30%
25°C 24%
27°C 20%
23°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
20°C or below
$6 Vol.
1%
21°C
$6 Vol.
2%
22°C
$6 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
12%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
24%
26°C
$1 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Climatempo and AccuWeather indicate a high near 25–26°C for São Paulo on May 4, aligning with trader consensus favoring 26°C (30% implied probability), 25°C (23%), and 27°C (20%), following a cold front's arrival on May 3 that drops highs to around 21°C amid heavy rain. Partial clearing and urban heat island effects—elevating city peaks 2–3°C above rural averages—could push toward 27°C if showers delay, while persistent afternoon cloud cover and 25–70% precipitation odds cap at 25°C per model ensembles. This tight spread reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty in temperature maxima, with daily INMET and global model updates (GFS, ECMWF) likely to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$34Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Climatempo and AccuWeather indicate a high near 25–26°C for São Paulo on May 4, aligning with trader consensus favoring 26°C (30% implied probability), 25°C (23%), and 27°C (20%), following a cold front's arrival on May 3 that drops highs to around 21°C amid heavy rain. Partial clearing and urban heat island effects—elevating city peaks 2–3°C above rural averages—could push toward 27°C if showers delay, while persistent afternoon cloud cover and 25–70% precipitation odds cap at 25°C per model ensembles. This tight spread reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty in temperature maxima, with daily INMET and global model updates (GFS, ECMWF) likely to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$34Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Climatempo and AccuWeather indicate a high near 25–26°C for São Paulo on May 4, aligning with trader consensus favoring 26°C (30% implied probability), 25°C (23%), and 27°C (20%), following a cold front's arrival on May 3 that drops highs to around 21°C amid heavy rain. Partial clearing and urban heat island effects—elevating city peaks 2–3°C above rural averages—could push toward 27°C if showers delay, while persistent afternoon cloud cover and 25–70% precipitation odds cap at 25°C per model ensembles. This tight spread reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty in temperature maxima, with daily INMET and global model updates (GFS, ECMWF) likely to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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