Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high near 19°C (40.5% implied probability) or 20°C (29.5%) for Helsinki on May 2, driven by today's observed peak of 15°C under mostly sunny skies at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport, per Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) data, signaling a mild spring warmup amid a high-pressure ridge influencing southern Finland. FMI's latest short-range forecast projects a daytime maximum around 11–15°C with clear conditions, light southwest winds (3–5 m/s), and under 10% precipitation chance, aligning with early May climatology (historical highs averaging 12–14°C) but showing model variability—some ensembles like GFS hint at upside potential from solar heating and southerly flow. Uncertainty persists as new FMI updates and ECMWF runs expected overnight could refine peak temperature estimates before resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 2?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 2?
19°C 41%
20°C 30%
21°C 18.4%
18°C 10%
NUEVO
$25,191 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,191 Vol.
2 may 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
10%
19°C
41%
20°C
30%
21°C
18%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 41%
20°C 30%
21°C 18.4%
18°C 10%
NUEVO
$25,191 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,191 Vol.
2 may 2026
13°C or below
$11,061 Vol.
1%
14°C
$2,029 Vol.
1%
15°C
$2,230 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,856 Vol.
1%
17°C
$2,319 Vol.
2%
18°C
$1,818 Vol.
10%
19°C
$815 Vol.
41%
20°C
$687 Vol.
30%
21°C
$470 Vol.
18%
22°C
$904 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$1,004 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high near 19°C (40.5% implied probability) or 20°C (29.5%) for Helsinki on May 2, driven by today's observed peak of 15°C under mostly sunny skies at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport, per Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) data, signaling a mild spring warmup amid a high-pressure ridge influencing southern Finland. FMI's latest short-range forecast projects a daytime maximum around 11–15°C with clear conditions, light southwest winds (3–5 m/s), and under 10% precipitation chance, aligning with early May climatology (historical highs averaging 12–14°C) but showing model variability—some ensembles like GFS hint at upside potential from solar heating and southerly flow. Uncertainty persists as new FMI updates and ECMWF runs expected overnight could refine peak temperature estimates before resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volumen
$25,191Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high near 19°C (40.5% implied probability) or 20°C (29.5%) for Helsinki on May 2, driven by today's observed peak of 15°C under mostly sunny skies at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport, per Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) data, signaling a mild spring warmup amid a high-pressure ridge influencing southern Finland. FMI's latest short-range forecast projects a daytime maximum around 11–15°C with clear conditions, light southwest winds (3–5 m/s), and under 10% precipitation chance, aligning with early May climatology (historical highs averaging 12–14°C) but showing model variability—some ensembles like GFS hint at upside potential from solar heating and southerly flow. Uncertainty persists as new FMI updates and ECMWF runs expected overnight could refine peak temperature estimates before resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$25,191Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high near 19°C (40.5% implied probability) or 20°C (29.5%) for Helsinki on May 2, driven by today's observed peak of 15°C under mostly sunny skies at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport, per Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) data, signaling a mild spring warmup amid a high-pressure ridge influencing southern Finland. FMI's latest short-range forecast projects a daytime maximum around 11–15°C with clear conditions, light southwest winds (3–5 m/s), and under 10% precipitation chance, aligning with early May climatology (historical highs averaging 12–14°C) but showing model variability—some ensembles like GFS hint at upside potential from solar heating and southerly flow. Uncertainty persists as new FMI updates and ECMWF runs expected overnight could refine peak temperature estimates before resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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