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icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 1 de mayo?

¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 1 de mayo?

icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 1 de mayo?

¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 1 de mayo?

abr 30

may 1

may 2

abr 30

may 1

may 2

88-89°F 48%

90-91°F 36.5%

86-87°F 8%

92-93°F 5.3%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$16,295 Vol.

88-89°F 48%

90-91°F 36.5%

86-87°F 8%

92-93°F 5.3%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$16,295 Vol.

77°F o menos

$966 Vol.

<1%

78-79°F

$648 Vol.

<1%

80-81°F

$1,523 Vol.

1%

82-83°F

$1,910 Vol.

<1%

84-85°F

$2,168 Vol.

2%

86-87°F

$1,935 Vol.

8%

88-89°F

$2,229 Vol.

48%

90-91°F

$1,354 Vol.

37%

92-93°F

$1,520 Vol.

5%

94-95°F

$1,255 Vol.

1%

96°F o más

$893 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 88-89°F (49%) and 90-91°F (36.4%) as the highest temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on May 1, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast calling for sunny skies and a high near 89°F amid persistent moderate to severe drought across South Florida. Ongoing dry conditions, detailed in NWS drought statements through late April, limit cloud cover and evapotranspiration, enhancing daytime sensible heating under a high-pressure ridge—conditions historically yielding above-normal early May temperatures averaging 86°F at KMIA. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF align with this 88-91°F cluster, though sea breeze timing introduces uncertainty; watch morning forecast updates from NWS Miami for refinements ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,295
Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 88-89°F (49%) and 90-91°F (36.4%) as the highest temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on May 1, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast calling for sunny skies and a high near 89°F amid persistent moderate to severe drought across South Florida. Ongoing dry conditions, detailed in NWS drought statements through late April, limit cloud cover and evapotranspiration, enhancing daytime sensible heating under a high-pressure ridge—conditions historically yielding above-normal early May temperatures averaging 86°F at KMIA. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF align with this 88-91°F cluster, though sea breeze timing introduces uncertainty; watch morning forecast updates from NWS Miami for refinements ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,295
Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 1 de mayo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "88-89°F" con 48%, seguido de "90-91°F" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 48¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 1 de mayo?" ha generado $16.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 29, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 1 de mayo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 1 de mayo?" es "88-89°F" con 48%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "90-91°F" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 1 de mayo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.