Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast update on April 30 projects a maximum temperature of 28°C on May 2 amid mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and afternoon sunny intervals, anchoring trader sentiment with 38% implied probability on that outcome. This follows a cooler 25°C high forecast for May 1 and precedes 29°C on May 3, reflecting a warming trend consistent with April's exceptionally warm conditions and the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures in May-July. Typical May highs average around 28-29°C, but cloud cover and rain probability introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks below 29°C; traders await HKO's next daily forecast refresh for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 2?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 2?
28°C 39%
27°C 27%
29°C 14%
30°C 10%
$22,837 Vol.
$22,837 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
27%
28°C
39%
29°C
14%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 39%
27°C 27%
29°C 14%
30°C 10%
$22,837 Vol.
$22,837 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
27%
28°C
39%
29°C
14%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast update on April 30 projects a maximum temperature of 28°C on May 2 amid mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and afternoon sunny intervals, anchoring trader sentiment with 38% implied probability on that outcome. This follows a cooler 25°C high forecast for May 1 and precedes 29°C on May 3, reflecting a warming trend consistent with April's exceptionally warm conditions and the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures in May-July. Typical May highs average around 28-29°C, but cloud cover and rain probability introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks below 29°C; traders await HKO's next daily forecast refresh for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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